Music · resolved market
Will Armenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabcf6cc3fc5c2e8e99fa6e727d65e1de4f90b3af39fbdef4af26a0b566ac1cf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ef5…6119backed Yes | 39c | 34,177$13,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,847.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328d…d451backed No | 61c | 34,177$20,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,847.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 60c | 5,372$3,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204.65 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes | 40c | 3,415$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.89 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 57c | 2,296$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.04 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed No | 56c | 2,096$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.42 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 39c | 1,443$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.83 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd794…efe1backed Yes | 40c | 1,409$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.6 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 41c | 1,222$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.8 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8e…0824backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1296…0d1fbacked Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f7…382ebacked No | 55c | 955$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…07c3backed Yes | 45c | 915$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 43cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcb…36f0backed Yes | 63c | 914.93$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 40c | 912.61$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.6 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 45c | 880.88$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.86 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1021…2e13backed No | 55c | 660$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f67…15c4backed No | 56c | 660$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 48c | 623.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9873…7cc5backed No | 65c | 619.12$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6835backed Yes | 66c | 509.99$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 48c | 493.42$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.11 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb35e…7cc4backed No | 53c | 473.82$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 56c | 473.49$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.39 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed No | 57c | 465.53$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.05 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 46c | 409.15$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.94 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…28bdbacked No | 55c | 379$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 55c | 314.58$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.58 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 55c | 302.8$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.59 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e00…c7dcbacked No | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fed…3553backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 55c | 293.84$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.61 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 59c | 262$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.86 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 61c | 260.75$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.67 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed Yes | 53c | 255.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.05 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 48c | 245.48$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked No | 54c | 221.78$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 49c | 206.83$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.37 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 45c | 201.39$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.39 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 50c | 198.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.63 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 59c | 196.91$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.69 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 60c | 195.02$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed Yes | 52c | 187.52$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.42 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked No | 50c | 185.45$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.27 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed No | 62c | 164.25$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed No | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf968…84bdbacked Yes | 41c | 141.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.79 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 57c | 135$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 40c | 129.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed Yes | 59c | 123.92$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 53c | 122.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed Yes | 41c | 121$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked No | 54c | 100.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 61c | 87.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bb…f862backed Yes | 45c | 85.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 54c | 82.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…ad17backed No | 44c | 79.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x36cd…b3f7backed Yes | 53c | 76.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 56c | 76.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…526abacked Yes | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…6ee3backed No | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecde…c846backed Yes | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…58f8backed No | 54c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed No | 48c | 55.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…e17abacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed Yes | 37c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x915c…c1a9backed Yes | 36c | 54.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 19cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 39c | 53.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 60c | 52.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e0…19b9backed Yes | 61c | 50.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…48c8backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc24…3502backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 41c | 46.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e0…8755backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…e866backed No | 43c | 45.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.35per pick | 21cpaid | +237.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 22cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…c88fbacked Yes | 47c | 42.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 36c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…d603backed No | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked No | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb9…f3ebbacked No | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed No | 42c | 38.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…f529backed Yes | 53c | 37.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked No | 52c | 36.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…63dabacked No | 43c | 35.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x863d…4770backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…c633backed Yes | 61c | 34.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed Yes | 46c | 33.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5667…1d5bbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 38c | 31.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ac…63b9backed Yes | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef79…2ebdbacked No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee65…24d9backed No | 64c | 31.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…a513backed Yes | 47c | 30.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d1…3377backed Yes | 55c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989d…03c0backed No | 54c | 27.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Armenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?this page
- Will Australia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Austria qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Czechia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Denmark qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Finland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Georgia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Greece qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Ireland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Israel qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Latvia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Lithuania qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Luxembourg qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Malta qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Montenegro qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Serbia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.