TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Latvia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,525
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,115

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,525 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5992…c50cbacked Yes42c28,068$11,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,279.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x701c…9bc5backed No58c28,068$16,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,279.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb747…b050backed Yes53c20,645$10,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,740.085145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed No45c5,915$2,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,661.811931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No50c5,713$2,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,829.566642.4%28 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb39…c696backed No46c3,595$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.431816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-51.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No47c2,570$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.022015%3 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-77.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2c37…92a4backed Yes55c2,193$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.52030%6 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed No56c1,490$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.414835.8%53 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5be7…8fc6backed Yes56c1,243$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.27742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes56c1,150$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.733836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd794…efe1backed No46c1,100$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.551625%4 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.7622927.9%64 W · 165 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea0…9928backed No66c1,061$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.361127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c6e…07c3backed Yes43c985$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.45475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick43cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e00…c7dcbacked No57c945$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.6540%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fe0…37adbacked No56c945$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.240%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2cde…5b98backed No11c908$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.88175.9%1 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick6cpaid+194.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f5b…b598backed No49c756.42$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.052755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66e7…24c2backed No47c750$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.09267.7%2 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-86.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x63b1…1676backed Yes48c701.85$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.921770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+35.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f8d…6835backed No54c684$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.081250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f67…15c4backed Yes42c630$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.4850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed No46c600.44$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.23330.3%10 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No46c559.59$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.374643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes51c500$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2434946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb69a…4ba7backed Yes43c490$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c05…d72fbacked No58c480$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No46c446.2$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2312835.9%46 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c79…eb42backed No57c440$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3547…7064backed No57c440$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacad…3a3abacked No58c430$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes55c411$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.691330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes32c400$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2722245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06dc…af59backed Yes53c400$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1904440.9%18 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Yes56c399.7$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.862638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No44c396.97$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.677740.3%31 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4a6…db37backed No51c395.76$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.71616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick53cpaid-72.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No49c382.97$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2610630.2%32 W · 74 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2100…8bb9backed Yes42c350$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2032100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick40cpaid+154.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed No47c350$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.54344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed No62c349.29$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.94731.9%15 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No47c337.32$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.193450%17 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked No35c322.76$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.424129.3%12 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fcb…36f0backed No47c322.39$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4f7…382ebacked No57c310$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x679c…d8a1backed Yes65c307.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.76850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a25…81d1backed No45c300$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1343429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes46c284.65$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.718234.1%28 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No55c275.58$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.217027.1%19 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Yes50c258$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.51717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-60.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed No47c257.59$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.077626.3%20 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed No61c250$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.7519939.2%78 W · 121 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd535…fa67backed Yes40c240$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1453839.5%15 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No45c228.88$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1035139.2%20 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc324…4cd6backed Yes40c220$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0336…d655backed Yes43c185$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+78.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c8e…0824backed No57c175$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf6c…eb44backed Yes54c172$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.365046%23 W · 27 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+6.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e2e…d01cbacked Yes38c158.72$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.89850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No44c154.55$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.097343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No45c142.89$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.833438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1999…fedbbacked Yes53c142.83$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50bc…63dabacked Yes54c140$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e27…d603backed No52c139.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.43831.6%12 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa877…f204backed Yes43c122.81$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701361.5%8 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.31per pick30cpaid+71.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No46c120.49$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.397345.2%33 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dee…f4e6backed Yes54c116.33$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.494953.1%26 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes39c113$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3222640.3%91 W · 135 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc8d…5232backed No46c107.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.681838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd882…0c09backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502425%6 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.25738.6%22 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5464…be5ebacked Yes39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.431258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ba5…4f56backed Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94df…70dbbacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3602…b407backed No45c99.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a0e…6ad8backed Yes57c98.94$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.24955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+50.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked No48c98.75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5115119.2%29 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No48c96.79$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.473953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x38c7…c88fbacked No54c91.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed No63c90.89$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.057139.4%28 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22eb…ad17backed No57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502020%4 W · 16 L-5.7wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-72%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes42c86.01$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8314938.9%58 W · 91 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked Yes51c85$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.254955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes37c85$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.75650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87cd…6f2abacked No58c84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.932755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1a2…2e58backed Yes43c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb26e…becdbacked Yes57c79.45$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.451154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb99…8c33backed No58c70.53$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.143842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa4…531cbacked Yes43c70$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6490…2dfebacked Yes44c70$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2f…6c82backed Yes43c70$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+84.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bb5…1742backed Yes66c63.33$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.33633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa834…6ee3backed No46c59.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.62751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+53.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No40c57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8877…e6ccbacked Yes43c55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No46c53.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.631850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725b…576dbacked Yes57c52.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.881136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa75…3caabacked No57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5df…15edbacked No56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.