Music · resolved market
Will Latvia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2fc1516a39f6e44a8a50051d35e9db689a0e0dc806915bc11b13b9683bcebcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5992…c50cbacked Yes | 42c | 28,068$11,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,279.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…9bc5backed No | 58c | 28,068$16,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,279.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 53c | 20,645$10,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,740.08 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 45c | 5,915$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.81 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 50c | 5,713$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.56 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb39…c696backed No | 46c | 3,595$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.43 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 47c | 2,570$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.02 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…92a4backed Yes | 55c | 2,193$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 56c | 1,490$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.4 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…8fc6backed Yes | 56c | 1,243$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 56c | 1,150$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.73 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd794…efe1backed No | 46c | 1,100$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.55 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.76 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed No | 66c | 1,061$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…07c3backed Yes | 43c | 985$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 43cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e00…c7dcbacked No | 57c | 945$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe0…37adbacked No | 56c | 945$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 11c | 908$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed No | 49c | 756.42$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.05 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed No | 47c | 750$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.09 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Yes | 48c | 701.85$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.92 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6835backed No | 54c | 684$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f67…15c4backed Yes | 42c | 630$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 46c | 600.44$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.2 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 46c | 559.59$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.37 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 51c | 500$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69a…4ba7backed Yes | 43c | 490$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c05…d72fbacked No | 58c | 480$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 46c | 446.2$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.23 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c79…eb42backed No | 57c | 440$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3547…7064backed No | 57c | 440$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…3a3abacked No | 58c | 430$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…48c8backed Yes | 55c | 411$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.69 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 32c | 400$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 53c | 400$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 56c | 399.7$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.86 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 44c | 396.97$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.67 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a6…db37backed No | 51c | 395.76$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 49c | 382.97$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.26 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2100…8bb9backed Yes | 42c | 350$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +154.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed No | 47c | 350$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.5 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 62c | 349.29$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.9 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 47c | 337.32$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.19 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 35c | 322.76$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.42 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcb…36f0backed No | 47c | 322.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f7…382ebacked No | 57c | 310$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x679c…d8a1backed Yes | 65c | 307.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed No | 45c | 300$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes | 46c | 284.65$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.71 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 55c | 275.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.21 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 50c | 258$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed No | 47c | 257.59$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.07 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.75 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed Yes | 40c | 240$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 45c | 228.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc324…4cd6backed Yes | 40c | 220$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…d655backed Yes | 43c | 185$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8e…0824backed No | 57c | 175$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6c…eb44backed Yes | 54c | 172$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2e…d01cbacked Yes | 38c | 158.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 44c | 154.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 45c | 142.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…fedbbacked Yes | 53c | 142.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…63dabacked Yes | 54c | 140$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…d603backed No | 52c | 139.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…f204backed Yes | 43c | 122.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 30cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 46c | 120.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed Yes | 54c | 116.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 39c | 113$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.32 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed No | 46c | 107.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd882…0c09backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba5…4f56backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…70dbbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed No | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…6ad8backed Yes | 57c | 98.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 48c | 98.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 48c | 96.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…c88fbacked No | 54c | 91.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed No | 63c | 90.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…ad17backed No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 42c | 86.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 51c | 85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes | 37c | 85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 58c | 84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…2e58backed Yes | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26e…becdbacked Yes | 57c | 79.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 58c | 70.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…531cbacked Yes | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6490…2dfebacked Yes | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2f…6c82backed Yes | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb5…1742backed Yes | 66c | 63.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…6ee3backed No | 46c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 40c | 57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8877…e6ccbacked Yes | 43c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 46c | 53.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…576dbacked Yes | 57c | 52.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa75…3caabacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5df…15edbacked No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Latvia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?this page
- Will Armenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Australia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Austria qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Czechia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Denmark qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Finland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Georgia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Greece qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Ireland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Israel qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Lithuania qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Luxembourg qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Malta qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Montenegro qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Serbia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.