Music · resolved market
Will Serbia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59ee065a8a03c1672945a43614d85eef3de36c75ae766c265ee3edae970e50de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 51c | 17,949$9,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,755.69 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed Yes | 43c | 14,637$6,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,336.89 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 70c | 6,316$4,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.93 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked No | 52c | 5,848$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.1 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 54c | 4,035$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.56 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecde…c846backed Yes | 39c | 3,216$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.07 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes | 49c | 2,674$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.36 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb39…c696backed Yes | 49c | 2,286$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 34c | 1,635$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.38 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed No | 54c | 1,490$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.51 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc6…411fbacked Yes | 54c | 1,006$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef90…da0ebacked No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd112…c648backed No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…92a4backed No | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…4875backed Yes | 48c | 945$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f7…382ebacked No | 52c | 940$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…b41abacked Yes | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69a…4ba7backed Yes | 49c | 825$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a7…9204backed Yes | 47c | 820$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes | 40c | 816.33$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 47c | 791$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.5 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed No | 50c | 742$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.79 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed Yes | 45c | 685.02$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.97 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…dc75backed No | 59c | 672.64$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 61c | 537.5$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.99 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffa…0ae6backed No | 52c | 535$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a6…f308backed No | 49c | 531.2$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 48c | 506.4$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.81 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 45c | 495.26$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.13 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 46c | 457.85$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 38c | 408.69$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.33 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Yes | 21c | 389.72$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 52c | 385.35$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.82 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5df…15edbacked No | 52c | 355$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1021…2e13backed No | 51c | 355$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 36c | 337$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.32 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Yes | 50c | 334.08$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.73 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 47c | 329.6$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…9dedbacked Yes | 43c | 300.01$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.79 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed No | 54c | 276.1$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.46 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed No | 50c | 265$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 47c | 257.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed Yes | 48c | 250$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.75 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 47c | 243.26$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.42 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed Yes | 46c | 233$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.51 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 49c | 222.86$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.93 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked Yes | 54c | 219$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.26 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed No | 51c | 207$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.57 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Yes | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed Yes | 51c | 196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 67c | 195.29$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242b…de00backed Yes | 49c | 182.65$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 47c | 179.25$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 71c | 177$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe0…37adbacked Yes | 49c | 175$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6457…834fbacked Yes | 49c | 175$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd7…468ebacked Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 60c | 145.59$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…07c3backed Yes | 47c | 135$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 43cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5d…a799backed Yes | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e0…19b9backed No | 53c | 113.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed No | 63c | 97.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8e…0824backed No | 51c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cc…47bbbacked No | 52c | 95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 52c | 90.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 79c | 84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…ce0cbacked Yes | 47c | 82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd882…0c09backed Yes | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc979…4a98backed Yes | 42c | 78.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 53c | 75.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2e…d01cbacked No | 50c | 73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed No | 72c | 72.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed No | 55c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…c88fbacked Yes | 48c | 62.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…8f79backed Yes | 57c | 61.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b0…cdd9backed Yes | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…62e9backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x176b…1fe9backed Yes | 47c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…6a5dbacked No | 52c | 57.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +98%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…5332backed No | 54c | 55.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26e…becdbacked No | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…ad17backed No | 77c | 52.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 38c | 52.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ff…835dbacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…6ee3backed No | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa890…1c30backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…5495backed Yes | 49c | 47.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24e0…8755backed Yes | 44c | 45.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598d…3244backed Yes | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Serbia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?this page
- Will Armenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Australia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Austria qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Czechia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Denmark qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Finland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Georgia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Greece qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Ireland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Israel qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Latvia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Lithuania qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Luxembourg qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Malta qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Montenegro qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.