TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Greece qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,200
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,200 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb747…b050backed Yes76c9,626$7,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,270.365145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed Yes74c6,227$4,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.024731.9%15 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No22c5,379$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.6922927.9%64 W · 165 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No23c5,143$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.852524%6 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No25c3,125$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7766642.4%28 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49b6…170cbacked No31c2,949$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.577723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed No23c2,146$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.6314835.8%53 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd794…efe1backed No29c1,581$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.121625%4 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked No2c1,563$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-77%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff1…98d7backed Yes78c1,515$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.161050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f8d…6835backed Yes77c1,443$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.431250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No22c1,300$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2823438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3def…08b4backed Yes80c1,280$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.391435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5b…23cabacked No19c1,162$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.63941%16 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No22c1,145$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.494643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4258…dc75backed No27c1,092$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No23c784$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.372015%3 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-77.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Yes74c720$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1862638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1091…7898backed Yes77c700$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1611100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5bc…0df1backed No23c700$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…45fbbacked Yes74c630$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.79335.5%33 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No25c620.99$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4712835.9%46 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes70c562.86$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.435139.2%20 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06dc…af59backed Yes77c500.22$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.24440.9%18 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed No27c492.59$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1335320.8%11 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…24c2backed No20c459.52$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9267.7%2 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-86.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0978…00e6backed Yes79c420$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.22540%10 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed No26c399.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027234.7%25 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes76c399.54$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.394946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd46c…f641backed No26c368.38$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffc6…411fbacked Yes79c355.64$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.643145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d3…a093backed Yes79c349.75$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.241060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb38a…8237backed Yes79c338.25$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.69666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed No27c336.32$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.314344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca0…e17abacked No23c326.09$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757549.3%37 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fd7…468ebacked Yes79c323.64$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.64450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d9…9695backed Yes79c250$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532035%7 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf385…4864backed No20c241.28$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.634447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed No22c235.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.373330.3%10 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50b2…c94abacked Yes74c235$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.352441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd470…783ebacked No24c225.08$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.022040%8 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc62d…9dedbacked No22c207.44$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.641533.3%5 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked No21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424129.3%12 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa248…04f3backed Yes70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No24c187.09$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5524732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f1…42c0backed No27c184.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5dd…7564backed No25c145$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.25757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+59.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb99…8c33backed No28c143.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.983842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Yes74c141.17$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.561717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-60.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4332…975dbacked Yes72c139.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+82.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c37…92a4backed No25c135.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.892030%6 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked No23c123.87$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.282445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No23c119.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.67740.3%31 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e27…d603backed No24c119.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.43831.6%12 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4eee…2782backed Yes74c117.97$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.43560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2c…097cbacked No23c110$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid+37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1862…9f15backed No25c100.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+112.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323935.9%14 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd4f…cb79backed Yes78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No20c96.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.17343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dee…f4e6backed Yes75c84$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.74953.1%26 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No23c78.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.121850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No24c73.95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.753450%17 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c1…c1b8backed No28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203327.3%9 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes75c70$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.275738.6%22 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5464…be5ebacked No25c67.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.961258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3237…cef8backed Yes77c66.59$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed No27c65.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7219939.2%78 W · 121 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1620…f529backed No23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156028.3%17 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e6…2b17backed Yes77c65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.95580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+94.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No23c65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.954141.5%17 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+10.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa8f1…7cb8backed No25c63.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No19c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.694746.8%22 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.62755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd535…fa67backed Yes79c59.29$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.383839.5%15 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes76c57.3$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6815119.2%29 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7e…d8afbacked Yes79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.632638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed No29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.53444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6518…f798backed Yes76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0af4…89b4backed Yes71c44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.76560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd90c…9833backed No28c42.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87cd…6f2abacked Yes70c42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.62755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d1…3377backed Yes74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.541553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d8e…d191backed Yes76c40.24$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.612634.6%9 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.25238.5%20 W · 32 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-31.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe300…3a04backed Yes76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-44.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fed…3b22backed Yes75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.33450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a48…22e8backed Yes74c30.86$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.062356.5%13 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ac8…77cdbacked No39c28.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.32245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fa7…7c24backed Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed Yes75c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.53751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x73c8…dec4backed Yes77c25.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.941921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-44.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf638…8c7abacked Yes79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.321080%8 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87ba…9fd1backed Yes73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.751060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4670…5f1cbacked Yes72c23.61$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9118…e9dabacked Yes78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-45%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd740…54f6backed Yes78c18.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.14728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes71c18.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3916334.4%56 W · 107 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5ac…c8fcbacked Yes77c16.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.672853.6%15 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+30.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.