Music · resolved market
Will Greece qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6781928f9188f1e8a19929a7995f4913dd115d7d401fbfb697aca2d12083fa7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 76c | 9,626$7,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.36 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 74c | 6,227$4,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.02 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 22c | 5,379$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.69 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 23c | 5,143$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.85 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 25c | 3,125$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 31c | 2,949$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.57 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 23c | 2,146$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.63 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd794…efe1backed No | 29c | 1,581$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.12 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…766bbacked No | 2c | 1,563$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…98d7backed Yes | 78c | 1,515$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6835backed Yes | 77c | 1,443$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 22c | 1,300$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Yes | 80c | 1,280$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked No | 19c | 1,162$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 22c | 1,145$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.49 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…dc75backed No | 27c | 1,092$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 23c | 784$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.37 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 74c | 720$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1091…7898backed Yes | 77c | 700$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bc…0df1backed No | 23c | 700$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 74c | 630$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.7 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 25c | 620.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.47 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 70c | 562.86$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.43 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 77c | 500.22$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.2 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 27c | 492.59$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed No | 20c | 459.52$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…00e6backed Yes | 79c | 420$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 26c | 399.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 76c | 399.54$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 26c | 368.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc6…411fbacked Yes | 79c | 355.64$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.64 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…a093backed Yes | 79c | 349.75$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38a…8237backed Yes | 79c | 338.25$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed No | 27c | 336.32$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.31 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…e17abacked No | 23c | 326.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd7…468ebacked Yes | 79c | 323.64$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d9…9695backed Yes | 79c | 250$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 20c | 241.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 22c | 235.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 74c | 235$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 24c | 225.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…9dedbacked No | 22c | 207.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…04f3backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 24c | 187.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…42c0backed No | 27c | 184.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed No | 25c | 145$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 28c | 143.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 74c | 141.17$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4332…975dbacked Yes | 72c | 139.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…92a4backed No | 25c | 135.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 23c | 123.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 23c | 119.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…d603backed No | 24c | 119.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Yes | 74c | 117.97$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…097cbacked No | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1862…9f15backed No | 25c | 100.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…cb79backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 20c | 96.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed Yes | 75c | 84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 23c | 78.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 24c | 73.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…c1b8backed No | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked No | 25c | 67.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…cef8backed Yes | 77c | 66.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 27c | 65.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…f529backed No | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e6…2b17backed Yes | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…7cb8backed No | 25c | 63.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 19c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed Yes | 79c | 59.29$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 76c | 57.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…d8afbacked Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…89b4backed Yes | 71c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd90c…9833backed No | 28c | 42.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked Yes | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d1…3377backed Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…d191backed Yes | 76c | 40.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…3a04backed Yes | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fed…3b22backed Yes | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed Yes | 74c | 30.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 39c | 28.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa7…7c24backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed Yes | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…dec4backed Yes | 77c | 25.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…8c7abacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…9fd1backed Yes | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4670…5f1cbacked Yes | 72c | 23.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd740…54f6backed Yes | 78c | 18.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 71c | 18.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ac…c8fcbacked Yes | 77c | 16.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Greece qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?this page
- Will Armenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Australia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Austria qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Czechia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Denmark qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Finland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Georgia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Ireland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Israel qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Latvia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Lithuania qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Luxembourg qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Malta qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Montenegro qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Serbia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.