Music · resolved market
Will Denmark qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0f18c473167d8df1c8ed25f7ddf29a6684d22b87a8c0110c7cda0ca4c8f8ab3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 37c | 15,969$5,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,042.27 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 48c | 5,545$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,901.59 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed No | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…92a4backed Yes | 42c | 4,732$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,723.81 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 61c | 3,093$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.4 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee0…27a2backed No | 64c | 2,568$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 58c | 2,511$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.27 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 62c | 2,148$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.1 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 61c | 1,769$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 28cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed No | 65c | 1,682$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.77 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 53c | 1,326$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.82 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…dc75backed No | 65c | 1,239$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x863d…4770backed Yes | 39c | 1,225$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.47 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe0…37adbacked No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd794…efe1backed No | 50c | 1,000$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…dc7fbacked Yes | 51c | 980$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5df…15edbacked Yes | 37c | 965$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 51c | 864$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.63 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 41c | 799.87$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.78 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…6d88backed No | 62c | 785.75$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked No | 61c | 730.33$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.95 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 61c | 699.99$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.74 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 39c | 698.32$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.42 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 37c | 681.34$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.43 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab4…4427backed No | 49c | 625$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked No | 51c | 619.02$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.65 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 41c | 484.89$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.32 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed No | 65c | 459$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.91 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 39c | 456.39$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.39 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed No | 50c | 443$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.48 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed Yes | 38c | 442$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.24 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…00e6backed No | 61c | 425.86$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…cd6fbacked Yes | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 9cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 39c | 402.58$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.07 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1368…220fbacked Yes | 39c | 377.46$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.46 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3a…236cbacked No | 49c | 375$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 66c | 359.61$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed Yes | 36c | 349.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.61 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…088dbacked No | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked Yes | 45c | 296.31$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.03 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1240…3a3fbacked Yes | 50c | 284.64$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb38a…8237backed No | 61c | 249.12$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 60c | 222$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d9…9695backed No | 66c | 220.82$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.57 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 57c | 209.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.33 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed No | 62c | 208.32$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4332…975dbacked No | 63c | 205.11$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 40c | 200$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…a093backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…b2b3backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 50c | 191.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb39…c696backed No | 53c | 187.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes | 46c | 176.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.03 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed No | 59c | 169$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked Yes | 50c | 160$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 66c | 155$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…3a28backed Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed No | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed No | 52c | 144.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…f529backed Yes | 35c | 141.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 63c | 108$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…ad17backed No | 65c | 102.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed Yes | 30c | 102$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9423…ef00backed No | 50c | 101.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x577e…ab13backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffb…7fb6backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…c959backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6835backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…2518backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…0788backed No | 50c | 99.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc1…37a7backed Yes | 51c | 97.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…d191backed Yes | 34c | 94.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e6…2b17backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a6…db37backed No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36e0…19b9backed Yes | 49c | 81.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…63dabacked Yes | 32c | 80$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…6ee3backed Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdffc…53e6backed No | 61c | 76.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 40c | 74.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 61c | 69.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3985…cfebbacked No | 62c | 68.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9c…0fe6backed Yes | 44c | 68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ce…c11abacked No | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed No | 49c | 64.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 53c | 62.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…c88fbacked No | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa755…5200backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 35cpaid | +189.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Denmark qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?this page
- Will Armenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Australia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Austria qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Czechia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Finland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Georgia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Greece qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Ireland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Israel qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Latvia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Lithuania qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Luxembourg qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Malta qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Montenegro qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Serbia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.