Music · resolved market
Will Ireland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x839f3c2918e98b29d674c77125c0437389d2d7eb4322963290dda2144093c233
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $213,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd2d…2fe3backed No | 47c | 37,112$17,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,669.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af5…dbf3backed Yes | 53c | 37,112$19,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,669.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08d8…bb1bbacked Yes | 47c | 30,807$14,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,479.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…098bbacked No | 53c | 30,807$16,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,479.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x964e…a040backed No | 45c | 23,188$10,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,753.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebb…ea5cbacked Yes | 55c | 23,188$12,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,753.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 46c | 5,198$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.92 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…8fc6backed No | 55c | 4,687$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed No | 66c | 2,071$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.82 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 54c | 1,373$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.7 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 47c | 1,196$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.46 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…6f4dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,163$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…2518backed Yes | 54c | 701.54$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 46c | 700$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 28cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 31c | 613.27$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.66 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed Yes | 31c | 600.33$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.88 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Yes | 28c | 545$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.25 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fa…d16dbacked No | 57c | 527.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 71c | 508.47$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 48c | 499.99$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 50c | 437.87$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.91 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 53c | 427.97$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.97 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…446dbacked Yes | 47c | 363.7$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863d…4770backed Yes | 50c | 347.86$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.31 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcb…36f0backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 54c | 289.07$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.3 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x176b…1fe9backed Yes | 42c | 272.19$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd882…0c09backed Yes | 48c | 258.64$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.15 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…f71abacked No | 52c | 250$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Yes | 38c | 238.36$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 43c | 233.62$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d48…9a42backed Yes | 45c | 231.74$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e7…b0f7backed No | 47c | 212.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.15 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked Yes | 43c | 206.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.09 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa580…3287backed Yes | 50c | 202.2$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…a0b3backed No | 61c | 201.61$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.61 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…d191backed Yes | 53c | 190.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed Yes | 54c | 183.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked No | 50c | 164.29$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…d84bbacked Yes | 54c | 155.56$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 26c | 152.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Yes | 41c | 149$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 51c | 145.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed No | 52c | 136.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…e866backed Yes | 40c | 124.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…c959backed No | 69c | 122.89$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 43c | 112$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed No | 55c | 104.16$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 49c | 102.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…42c0backed Yes | 49c | 101.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ab…144dbacked Yes | 51c | 101.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…feb4backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…f4cebacked No | 55c | 98.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…956bbacked Yes | 47c | 98.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d34…27a0backed No | 62c | 92.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…6b77backed Yes | 57c | 88.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…ad17backed Yes | 41c | 86.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a6…db37backed Yes | 42c | 85.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 65c | 84.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 38c | 81.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Yes | 52c | 75.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf968…84bdbacked No | 55c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…c1b8backed No | 55c | 69.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed Yes | 52c | 64.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 44c | 63.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 46c | 58.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…cafabacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed Yes | 47c | 55.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…c88fbacked No | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 43c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 52c | 52.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…6ee3backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2e…d01cbacked No | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ce…c11abacked Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…4c19backed Yes | 45c | 46.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…f529backed Yes | 47c | 42.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 59c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…d603backed Yes | 50c | 41.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a7…5292backed Yes | 29c | 40.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 51c | 40.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…c633backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Yes | 51c | 39.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Yes | 55c | 36.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…5570backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27eb…2945backed Yes | 47c | 34.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 49c | 33.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…c7d4backed Yes | 53c | 31.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204c…df35backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…aba9backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ac…c8fcbacked No | 51c | 24.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ireland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?this page
- Will Armenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Australia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Austria qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Czechia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Denmark qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Finland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Georgia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Greece qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Israel qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Latvia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Lithuania qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Luxembourg qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Malta qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Montenegro qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Serbia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.