Music · resolved market
Will Malta qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4288cddea012c18e14b3c950f6325faaf2490b7e1f64a71e328c5f943006830a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed No | 14c | 20,521$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.05 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked No | 20c | 9,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.59 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecde…c846backed No | 15c | 6,247$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.97 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked No | 13c | 5,663$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.79 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed No | 9c | 5,290$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.66 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed No | 19c | 3,412$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 20c | 2,750$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 8c | 2,058$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.62 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 19c | 2,001$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.66 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb39…c696backed No | 8c | 1,257$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed No | 13c | 639.24$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.71 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 16c | 423$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed No | 23c | 361$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.46 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 11c | 350$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 14c | 348.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 9c | 339.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 28cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 15c | 327$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Yes | 77c | 248.53$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked No | 19c | 245.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…6a60backed No | 19c | 243.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 31c | 241$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 10c | 230.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed No | 19c | 226$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 14c | 221.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c4…191fbacked No | 9c | 217.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 17c | 214.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 73c | 206.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 26c | 200.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 8c | 199.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 16c | 187.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fa…d16dbacked No | 19c | 169.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…c1b8backed No | 24c | 167.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 15c | 162.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 16c | 137.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…097cbacked No | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e0…19b9backed No | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…48c8backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…d603backed No | 11c | 99.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 13c | 94.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 70c | 89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 17c | 69.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…c88fbacked No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed Yes | 79c | 53.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee8…fac3backed No | 20c | 52.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 35c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 26c | 41.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…07d0backed Yes | 80c | 34.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Yes | 74c | 28.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Malta qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?this page
- Will Armenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Australia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Austria qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Czechia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Denmark qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Finland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Georgia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Greece qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Ireland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Israel qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Latvia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Lithuania qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Luxembourg qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Montenegro qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Serbia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.