Champions League · resolved market
Will Borussia Dortmund win Group F at the FIFA Club World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71e6fc7e1373fb34d1ee941a1c05c0fbb93feefe31f96b8b9f8b906d4dc53255
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 32c | 2,155$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.74 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 55c | 1,963$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.19 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 55c | 1,340$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.6 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 69c | 1,329$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.32 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 38c | 1,283$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.37 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 67c | 1,161$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.12 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4a…621bbacked Yes | 68c | 1,025$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked No | 33c | 832.24$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.64 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 44c | 745.08$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.31 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…af7fbacked Yes | 78c | 638.21$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 38c | 587.68$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.18 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 55c | 559$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.03 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked No | 33c | 536.31$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.98 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 67c | 500.1$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.6 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 13c | 487.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 39c | 439.56$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.17 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Yes | 57c | 385.9$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +81%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 42c | 356.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 68c | 312$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Yes | 52c | 301.54$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.54 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…b1e6backed Yes | 68c | 301.47$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +363.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 48c | 299.53$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.76 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 56c | 268.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.02 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2130…b64dbacked Yes | 67c | 257.37$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 57c | 233.6$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 20c | 223.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 66c | 215.35$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 71c | 212.83$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 23c | 204.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed No | 34c | 204$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 56c | 200$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…28fdbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbf…4ffabacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 55c | 182.73$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 50c | 180$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…2212backed No | 45c | 175.11$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 71c | 170.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 57c | 159$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59a3…350ebacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 74c | 148$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Yes | 63c | 146$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 67c | 144.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa59a…e37cbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 68c | 134.51$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 30c | 128.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 42c | 111.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…7dc7backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 30c | 99.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked Yes | 68c | 99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 34c | 94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8e…c096backed Yes | 64c | 93.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…d71cbacked Yes | 56c | 89.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Yes | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5598…0f47backed Yes | 54c | 85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Yes | 55c | 82.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…d7f2backed Yes | 68c | 79.41$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd882…0c09backed Yes | 54c | 77.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 33c | 76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 163 | 27%44 W · 119 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…835abacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec5…2bbdbacked Yes | 71c | 70.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12a3…8c48backed No | 34c | 64.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…a661backed Yes | 78c | 61.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -84%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e6…2b17backed Yes | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 34c | 58.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…6255backed Yes | 68c | 58.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Yes | 68c | 57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…ad57backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 33c | 44.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd1…4b94backed Yes | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8898…a196backed No | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…3895backed Yes | 54c | 39.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…984fbacked Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7905…be49backed No | 33c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3598…ad60backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec3…ebc5backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…51e4backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd417…5adebacked Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…3e65backed Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…f78cbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…070dbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Dortmund win Group F at the FIFA Club World Cup?this page
- Will Fluminense win Group F at the FIFA Club World Cup?No won
- Will Mamelodi Sundowns win Group F at the FIFA Club World Cup?No won
- Will Ulsan Hyundai win Group F at the FIFA Club World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.