Tennis · resolved market
Wuhan Tennis Open: Sofia Kenin vs Liudmila Samsonova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6235693522c2ad10440f4e948bb7ce4f773b70806f194fc74660d79afae9fb66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsonovaof Kenin, Samsonova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Kenin | 44c | 11,000$4,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,819 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsonova | 58c | 8,717$5,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,633.76 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Samsonova | 56c | 3,389$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.24 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Kenin | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Samsonova | 52c | 1,373$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.56 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Samsonova | 60c | 1,196$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.14 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Samsonova | 52c | 700.67$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.93 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d8…d61fbacked Kenin | 43c | 576.51$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7f…90c5backed Kenin | 64c | 543.03$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Samsonova | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0a…0684backed Kenin | 53c | 409.88$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.02 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Samsonova | 54c | 283.38$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.31 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kenin | 34c | 236$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.41 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Kenin | 17c | 234.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kenin | 49c | 177$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663a…75babacked Kenin | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Kenin | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Samsonova | 64c | 107.81$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Samsonova | 59c | 101$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kenin | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Samsonova | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Samsonova | 57c | 65.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Kenin | 43c | 65.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…635bbacked Samsonova | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kenin | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed Samsonova | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…fad8backed Samsonova | 62c | 23.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Kenin | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Samsonova | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.