College Football · resolved market
TCU vs. Arizona State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36a5144ce1cd639cb99f55bf897ca37a3af70b34dcc48705857a4141d5f9339f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Stateof TCU, Arizona State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed TCU | 43c | 116,913$49,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,776.08 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Arizona State | 57c | 50,000$28,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,500 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Arizona State | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Arizona State | 59c | 14,644$8,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,004.07 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Arizona State | 57c | 13,500$7,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,805 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Arizona State | 58c | 8,621$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Arizona State | 47c | 6,957$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,686.95 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Arizona State | 57c | 6,066$3,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.77 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TCU | 17c | 4,355$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Arizona State | 49c | 4,218$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.43 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd3…9424backed Arizona State | 59c | 2,847$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Arizona State | 33c | 2,713$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.79 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked TCU | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed TCU | 63c | 1,857$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked TCU | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed TCU | 32c | 1,580$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.8 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed TCU | 2c | 1,107$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Arizona State | 57c | 1,065$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.95 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed TCU | 63c | 1,058$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.58 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Arizona State | 57c | 1,037$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.78 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Arizona State | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Arizona State | 44c | 714.85$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.08 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked TCU | 44c | 700$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac0…b10abacked TCU | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Arizona State | 58c | 599.99$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.8 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed TCU | 70c | 599.23$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.46 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Arizona State | 59c | 596.61$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.86 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked TCU | 42c | 590$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.8 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed TCU | 55c | 582.15$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Arizona State | 62c | 572.73$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Arizona State | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Arizona State | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Arizona State | 57c | 476.64$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.96 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked TCU | 15c | 417.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed TCU | 52c | 410$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked TCU | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Arizona State | 59c | 381.36$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.36 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Arizona State | 59c | 338.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.59 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed TCU | 49c | 335.47$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed TCU | 42c | 324.51$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.68 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed TCU | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…e8bbbacked Arizona State | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Arizona State | 57c | 268.52$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Arizona State | 57c | 268$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.24 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Arizona State | 58c | 253.89$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.54 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65f6…8333backed TCU | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…b0c2backed TCU | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4652…f8acbacked Arizona State | 52c | 229.3$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x752f…9332backed TCU | 43c | 216.75$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…e6fdbacked Arizona State | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked TCU | 77c | 200$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Arizona State | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Arizona State | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Arizona State | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22a3…8665backed TCU | 74c | 194.85$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arizona State | 40c | 182.96$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.93 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed TCU | 44c | 181$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…c7f5backed TCU | 58c | 180.46$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Arizona State | 58c | 174.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…1934backed Arizona State | 58c | 173.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Arizona State | 59c | 170.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…c24dbacked TCU | 43c | 170$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed TCU | 72c | 138.39$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…1c00backed TCU | 41c | 128.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked TCU | 59c | 119.44$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed TCU | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed TCU | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…bafcbacked Arizona State | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b8…da32backed Arizona State | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed TCU | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Arizona State | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed TCU | 48c | 81.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7f…90c5backed Arizona State | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Arizona State | 19c | 63.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed TCU | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Arizona State | 49c | 57.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Arizona State | 40c | 49.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…69bfbacked TCU | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfab8…e432backed Arizona State | 57c | 36.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed TCU | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4055…8449backed Arizona State | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Arizona State | 58c | 26.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked TCU | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c5…bf7abacked TCU | 54c | 22.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.