Tennis · resolved market
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe99176076f8aef6cd7c1e2d72cc289ebeb1daa8f8c8c70841c840fa3d70a3639
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gauffof Pegula, Gauff
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Gauff | 65c | 9,880$6,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,437.12 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Pegula | 39c | 7,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Gauff | 63c | 4,403$2,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.48 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gauff | 64c | 4,279$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.73 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pegula | 35c | 4,039$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.47 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Gauff | 73c | 3,165$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.92 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pegula | 34c | 3,145$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.8 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Gauff | 58c | 2,985$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.53 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Pegula | 35c | 2,200$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Pegula | 42c | 1,621$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.89 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Gauff | 57c | 1,466$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.29 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Gauff | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Pegula | 40c | 1,156$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.24 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Pegula | 37c | 1,052$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.4 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Pegula | 42c | 1,037$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.57 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pegula | 34c | 1,028$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.72 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Pegula | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Pegula | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…5683backed Pegula | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Gauff | 76c | 1,000$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Pegula | 43c | 950$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.5 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Gauff | 62c | 899.41$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.32 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Gauff | 73c | 531.84$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.35 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Pegula | 28c | 494.57$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.66 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Gauff | 58c | 490.65$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.13 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Pegula | 25c | 440.67$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Gauff | 62c | 430$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.4 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pegula | 42c | 420.22$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.3 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Pegula | 34c | 357$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.41 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Gauff | 77c | 343.48$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…e6ccbacked Pegula | 23c | 343.48$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7f…90c5backed Pegula | 46c | 337.11$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe29a…e3b2backed Gauff | 68c | 307.34$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Gauff | 58c | 253.08$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.11 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5a…5787backed Pegula | 31c | 237.21$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Pegula | 44c | 226.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Gauff | 57c | 224.2$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.41 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…0e50backed Pegula | 45c | 202.03$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Pegula | 31c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 271 | 32.1%87 W · 184 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed Pegula | 24c | 195.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Gauff | 55c | 190.28$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed Gauff | 55c | 175$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Pegula | 22c | 163.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Gauff | 59c | 148.08$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Pegula | 48c | 136.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Gauff | 60c | 122.25$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Gauff | 60c | 113.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Gauff | 57c | 99.83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa840…2d88backed Pegula | 46c | 94.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Gauff | 77c | 85.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0e…7b1fbacked Gauff | 71c | 81.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Pegula | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Gauff | 57c | 66.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…bb41backed Gauff | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…07aabacked Gauff | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 167 | 62.9%105 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Gauff | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Pegula | 42c | 48.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Pegula | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Gauff | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Gauff | 59c | 42.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Gauff | 62c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Gauff | 61c | 39.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Pegula | 43c | 39.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Pegula | 37c | 37.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Gauff | 59c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Gauff | 67c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Gauff | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.