Tennis · resolved market
Wuhan Tennis Open: Shuai Zhang vs Sorana Cirstea
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x968d6dc42c182b891a9543ef56251fd2cd8c0621d0e06fedda94210c87d6278e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhangof Zhang, Cirstea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Cirstea | 39c | 5,159$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.66 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Zhang | 40c | 2,161$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.22 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Cirstea | 49c | 1,052$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.31 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Zhang | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Zhang | 54c | 1,000$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zhang | 59c | 990.41$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.03 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7f…90c5backed Zhang | 53c | 737.87$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.87 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zhang | 65c | 607.04$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.35 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Zhang | 67c | 542.15$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.59 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Cirstea | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Cirstea | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Zhang | 49c | 495$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.45 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Zhang | 61c | 400$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cirstea | 32c | 220$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Cirstea | 54c | 211.38$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zhang | 64c | 178.03$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.83 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c37…6887backed Cirstea | 32c | 161.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Cirstea | 42c | 135$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Zhang | 49c | 123.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cirstea | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Zhang | 78c | 83.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa7…04bfbacked Zhang | 61c | 61.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Cirstea | 34c | 54.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Zhang | 78c | 46.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Zhang | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Zhang | 80c | 30.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0a…0684backed Zhang | 66c | 23.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cirstea | 51c | 23.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.