TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Novak Djokovic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Djokovicof Bergs, Djokovic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,488
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,488 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2f09…4632backed Djokovic75c17,000$12,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1855950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf41…5562backed Bergs19c10,948$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,096.873135.5%11 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick26cpaid-14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Bergs28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Djokovic71c7,718$5,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,240.632,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x132a…abe8backed Bergs25c6,032$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5081421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-60.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Bergs30c5,989$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80018933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Djokovic72c5,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb351…5fbfbacked Bergs20c4,919$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.031030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Djokovic72c4,540$3,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.4216140.4%65 W · 96 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dcd…1722backed Bergs22c4,312$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.66126.2%16 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Djokovic74c4,033$2,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.711,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bergs11c3,038$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.618,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Bergs22c2,324$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.7512050%60 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Bergs27c2,187$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Bergs27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54022629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Bergs23c1,992$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.9747639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Bergs27c1,974$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.6112445.2%56 W · 68 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x285b…5231backed Djokovic76c1,963$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-50.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a1…1485backed Bergs27c1,593$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4306833.8%23 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Bergs30c1,311$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.0837540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Djokovic78c1,286$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.8814663%92 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Bergs19c1,229$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.1138931.4%122 W · 267 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Bergs27c1,200$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32436540.8%149 W · 216 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Bergs23c1,145$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.4429634.1%101 W · 195 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Bergs29c1,031$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29959151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Bergs24c1,001$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.0313935.3%49 W · 90 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Bergs27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Djokovic72c859.95$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.472957.3%418 W · 311 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Bergs25c818.14$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8667131.3%210 W · 461 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Djokovic74c800$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20918943.4%82 W · 107 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Djokovic76c701.12$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.279354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa97…a25bbacked Bergs15c660.42$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.06757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Bergs24c624.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9317818%32 W · 146 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Bergs28c600$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16881938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Bergs17c579.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.944423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7f…90c5backed Bergs28c536.07$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504738.3%18 W · 29 L-7.5wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-32%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Bergs28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509452.1%49 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6256…7181backed Djokovic76c526.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Bergs19c521.45$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0840141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Djokovic76c483.62$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.073452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Djokovic76c480.05$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.051,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbaa…59b8backed Djokovic77c445.45$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4532548%156 W · 169 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Djokovic74c405$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.314243%61 W · 81 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…5bd1backed Bergs29c393.14$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.012725.9%7 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Djokovic76c389.54$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.491,21746.3%563 W · 654 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b32…3f5fbacked Bergs13c370$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.23710.8%4 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-58.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Djokovic74c365.89$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1317767.2%119 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Bergs23c358.68$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.24654.3%25 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Bergs23c354.67$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5712231.1%38 W · 84 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Djokovic77c302.66$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.971,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Djokovic77c301.82$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.082227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed Bergs4c300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1324837.5%93 W · 155 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe98a…4f3fbacked Bergs24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+49.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf346…f468backed Bergs27c299.33$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Bergs9c260$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.462952.1%328 W · 301 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Bergs25c250.25$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8324846%114 W · 134 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Djokovic77c249.48$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.212560%75 W · 50 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Djokovic71c243$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.595140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Bergs24c241.21$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8965040%260 W · 390 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x420e…e3c9backed Djokovic78c240$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.812256.6%69 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab3…d47cbacked Bergs22c231.6$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9511143.2%48 W · 63 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Djokovic78c231.12$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1211533.9%39 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Djokovic78c228.13$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1938356.9%218 W · 165 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Bergs24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Bergs26c200$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5127132.1%87 W · 184 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Djokovic78c199.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked Bergs7c193.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6115752.2%82 W · 75 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked Bergs25c184$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466921.7%15 W · 54 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Djokovic77c160.97$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0223969.9%167 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93cb…3485backed Bergs31c151$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5530639.9%122 W · 184 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Djokovic75c150.64$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.162,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…44c7backed Bergs17c138.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f7…7272backed Djokovic78c136.35$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309263%58 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Djokovic74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Djokovic75c133$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8962742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x062e…9747backed Djokovic77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a8c…b52cbacked Djokovic77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.876737.3%25 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Djokovic77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8711060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Djokovic78c129$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3817867.4%120 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3f…994fbacked Djokovic78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.217766.2%51 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Bergs24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026045%117 W · 143 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Bergs22c124.76$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282,33946.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10f1…958ebacked Djokovic78c121.79$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Bergs23c114.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.225743.6%112 W · 145 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe64f…5976backed Bergs22c110$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2414940.9%61 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Djokovic73c103.71$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2890064.3%579 W · 321 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9239…9584backed Bergs27c103.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa263…6cf0backed Bergs13c102$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2617538.3%67 W · 108 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b88…5f5ebacked Djokovic76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242653.8%14 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe49c…773ebacked Djokovic72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285438.9%21 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0a4…72adbacked Djokovic77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41c…2f0dbacked Bergs27c99.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276653%35 W · 31 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Djokovic78c89.74$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7419553.3%104 W · 91 L-13.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x73c4…a92dbacked Bergs23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205038%19 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d81…259bbacked Bergs29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x474f…9650backed Bergs28c73.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.65714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-78.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Bergs24c73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.812,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3149…9762backed Djokovic74c72.97$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.975265.4%34 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b9f…d2b9backed Djokovic75c70$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.65255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9178…930abacked Djokovic76c70$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+88.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.