Tennis · resolved market
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Yue Yuan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x957afecddaa92916a5870a5a27e3af5a5a0d0d155278ed49d08cc141d27d3f55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paoliniof Paolini, Yuan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yuan | 39c | 5,069$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.05 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yuan | 46c | 2,246$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.46 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Paolini | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Paolini | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Paolini | 34c | 1,557$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.88 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yuan | 46c | 1,480$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.93 | 671 | 31.3%210 W · 461 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Paolini | 42c | 1,450$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yuan | 28c | 1,344$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.88 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yuan | 48c | 1,304$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.47 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Paolini | 33c | 1,208$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.76 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Paolini | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Paolini | 46c | 997.81$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.95 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Paolini | 32c | 776$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.76 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7f…90c5backed Paolini | 66c | 587.85$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.85 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yuan | 55c | 484.09$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.83 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yuan | 21c | 461.71$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yuan | 46c | 452$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.17 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Paolini | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Yuan | 25c | 420.57$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.89 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked Yuan | 51c | 398.73$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 68cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yuan | 38c | 289.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Paolini | 38c | 269$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.1 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa7…04bfbacked Paolini | 48c | 210.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.21 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Paolini | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 239 | 69.9%167 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Paolini | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Yuan | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yuan | 21c | 176.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yuan | 40c | 154$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Paolini | 61c | 134.76$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Paolini | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Paolini | 77c | 129.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Paolini | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Paolini | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Paolini | 79c | 116.33$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yuan | 23c | 113.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Paolini | 64c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yuan | 52c | 106$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yuan | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…2f0dbacked Yuan | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65df…052dbacked Yuan | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Yuan | 29c | 84.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e3…b3a4backed Paolini | 55c | 84.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5a…5787backed Paolini | 57c | 70.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Yuan | 57c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Paolini | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Paolini | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…7ecebacked Paolini | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Yuan | 60c | 30.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yuan | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Paolini | 79c | 27.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yuan | 56c | 24.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…86ffbacked Paolini | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.