NFL · resolved market
Browns vs. Steelers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b90495b8c6a3e710e2033792670def04c93193851b1335d322201974e5ecd14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Steelersof Browns, Steelers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $767,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $768,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $767,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 395 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Browns | 28c | 376,958$104,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,548.2 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Steelers | 72c | 190,748$137,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,409.47 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Steelers | 73c | 59,005$43,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,931.46 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Browns | 28c | 36,213$9,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,979.54 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Browns | 18c | 28,151$5,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,076.33 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Steelers | 72c | 26,156$18,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,323.6 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Steelers | 73c | 23,928$17,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,512.04 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Steelers | 71c | 20,000$14,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.96 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Steelers | 73c | 16,708$12,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,568.99 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Steelers | 70c | 16,507$11,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,972.16 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Browns | 27c | 15,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.97 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Steelers | 72c | 14,700$10,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,116 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Browns | 12c | 12,055$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.63 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Browns | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.15 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Steelers | 73c | 9,707$7,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,638.16 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Browns | 28c | 9,189$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.92 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Steelers | 73c | 8,760$6,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.2 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Browns | 19c | 7,743$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.23 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Browns | 1c | 7,555$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 142 | 15.5%22 W · 120 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Steelers | 72c | 7,500$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Steelers | 72c | 7,500$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Steelers | 72c | 7,437$5,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.49 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Browns | 12c | 6,888$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.56 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Browns | 28c | 5,648$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.31 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Browns | 27c | 5,500$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Steelers | 76c | 5,249$3,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.63 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Browns | 32c | 5,171$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.81 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Browns | 0c | 5,049$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Steelers | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Browns | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Browns | 14c | 4,296$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.21 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Browns | 2c | 4,230$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Browns | 29c | 4,152$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.91 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…331cbacked Browns | 27c | 4,038$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Browns | 29c | 3,886$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.94 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Steelers | 72c | 3,629$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.51 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Browns | 28c | 3,264$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.62 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Browns | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Browns | 28c | 2,857$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Browns | 29c | 2,534$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.86 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Browns | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Browns | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.98 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Steelers | 69c | 2,389$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.16 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Browns | 36c | 2,380$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.51 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Steelers | 74c | 2,134$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.37 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Steelers | 68c | 2,123$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.36 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Steelers | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Browns | 1c | 1,888$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Browns | 22c | 1,813$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0a…57e6backed Browns | 28c | 1,809$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ec…57d6backed Steelers | 73c | 1,809$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…2973backed Steelers | 73c | 1,808$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460e…2efbbacked Browns | 28c | 1,808$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Steelers | 70c | 1,799$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.85 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Steelers | 68c | 1,726$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.82 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126b…8753backed Browns | 32c | 1,557$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Browns | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a18…4f40backed Steelers | 76c | 1,487$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Browns | 28c | 1,407$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.88 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Browns | 23c | 1,318$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.25 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Steelers | 73c | 1,300$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Steelers | 73c | 1,296$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.19 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Browns | 14c | 1,293$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.42 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…3801backed Browns | 24c | 1,271$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5426…1339backed Browns | 2c | 1,200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Browns | 1c | 1,146$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Browns | 28c | 1,100$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…0a62backed Steelers | 73c | 1,027$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.4 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Browns | 28c | 1,000$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.01 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730d…6cfabacked Steelers | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…2ac5backed Browns | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Browns | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…07f2backed Browns | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Browns | 13c | 980.96$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.43 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Browns | 31c | 922.85$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.08 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Browns | 29c | 864.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Browns | 19c | 775.14$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.73 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Browns | 28c | 715.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Browns | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Steelers | 72c | 637.5$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Browns | 29c | 596.19$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.9 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb67…5ea3backed Steelers | 72c | 583.33$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.33 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c6…4722backed Browns | 32c | 556.27$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Steelers | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Browns | 6c | 545$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Browns | 29c | 522$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.38 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…5862backed Browns | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Browns | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Browns | 23c | 479.52$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.06 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Browns | 29c | 460$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.4 | 121 | 33.9%41 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Steelers | 75c | 432$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.72 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Browns | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Browns | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…ce35backed Steelers | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Browns | 27c | 390$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Steelers | 75c | 387$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…1c38backed Steelers | 73c | 383.53$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Browns | 21c | 371.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Steelers | 72c | 369.74$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdde5…a569backed Browns | 25c | 368$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Browns vs. Steelersthis page
- Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 37.5Under won
- Spread: Steelers (-4.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Steelers (-5.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Steelers (-6.5)Steelers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.