Tennis · resolved market
Almaty Open: Laslo Djere vs Alexander Shevchenko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0789cf7159838afbcb55f843698310f18ab26249b7fb356ecf88f5b19b0ec1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shevchenkoof Djere, Shevchenko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Djere | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shevchenko | 66c | 6,605$4,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.86 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Djere | 30c | 5,997$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.29 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Shevchenko | 67c | 4,203$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.58 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Djere | 26c | 2,919$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.27 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…b34abacked Shevchenko | 63c | 2,687$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.42 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Shevchenko | 77c | 999.23$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.93 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Shevchenko | 74c | 837.91$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.88 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Djere | 41c | 798.04$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.75 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Shevchenko | 59c | 796.61$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.61 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Shevchenko | 70c | 760$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.6 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Djere | 15c | 670$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Shevchenko | 59c | 512.57$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.15 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Djere | 34c | 506.25$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.33 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Shevchenko | 59c | 493.44$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.44 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7f…90c5backed Shevchenko | 59c | 372.88$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed Djere | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Djere | 21c | 219$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Shevchenko | 60c | 166.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Djere | 33c | 162$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Shevchenko | 61c | 153.44$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Djere | 42c | 152.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 1,217 | 46.3%563 W · 654 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Shevchenko | 58c | 146.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Shevchenko | 59c | 117.27$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Shevchenko | 77c | 109.76$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…745ebacked Shevchenko | 73c | 109.39$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…7ecebacked Djere | 13c | 85.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Shevchenko | 64c | 76.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Shevchenko | 66c | 76.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Shevchenko | 77c | 67.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Djere | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Shevchenko | 77c | 50.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…7d56backed Shevchenko | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Shevchenko | 75c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…07aabacked Shevchenko | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 167 | 62.9%105 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e2…ca98backed Shevchenko | 59c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…bb41backed Shevchenko | 56c | 44.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0e…7b1fbacked Shevchenko | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…7150backed Shevchenko | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 165 | 64.8%107 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec10…4d93backed Shevchenko | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115e…f5dabacked Djere | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Djere | 51c | 39.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Shevchenko | 60c | 38.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Djere | 40c | 31.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Djere | 43c | 29.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…52f7backed Shevchenko | 59c | 26.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Shevchenko | 76c | 23.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.