TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Brazil win on 2025-10-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,759 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No34c10,157$3,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,450.964,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No32c7,325$2,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,313.8824647.6%117 W · 129 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x883f…aad2backed Yes68c5,894$4,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,856.862339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-33.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No17c4,528$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.1221542.8%92 W · 123 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No31c3,840$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.0910548.6%51 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No28c3,168$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.563,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Yes65c2,541$1,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.5850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9721…bb3dbacked Yes68c2,143$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.231241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Yes71c2,059$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.648940.4%36 W · 53 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9dd2…fec8backed Yes67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.95944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf78e…0956backed Yes67c1,664$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.19977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbbb…4433backed Yes67c1,616$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.44366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Yes69c1,248$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.182142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No23c1,205$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.111931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-51%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd774…e11fbacked Yes69c1,130$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.685257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f5b…b598backed Yes66c1,068$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.43243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No32c1,050$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33660511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf661…d170backed No35c899.99$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3151811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63fa…7ea4backed Yes69c843.83$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.431952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No32c795.44$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.3612047.5%57 W · 63 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60f7…050bbacked Yes67c754.27$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c4c…913fbacked Yes68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61eb…e511backed Yes69c579.9$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No14c576.27$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1422226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No30c527$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5934630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No31c499.98$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.991,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33c3…4dcebacked Yes70c499.79$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.94580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+53.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2a4…fd52backed Yes69c484.31$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.31450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3792…3f75backed No33c400$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb16e…eff7backed Yes69c381.77$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No33c373.15$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4820322.7%46 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No34c365.85$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2646536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No31c333.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.543953.8%21 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+37.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes65c321.55$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5536349.3%179 W · 184 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed6c…d0bbbacked Yes65c309.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.728128.4%23 W · 58 L+0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad46…65a7backed Yes65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.694156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.03742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed No31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610033%33 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc86b…81e6backed No5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No32c299.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9927434.3%94 W · 180 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes67c298.65$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5513159.5%78 W · 53 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf351…5364backed Yes69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Yes71c282.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.611752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No33c250.16$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.761,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf241…79cebacked Yes65c226.58$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa78c…cb69backed Yes70c214.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.29333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6611951.3%61 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f32…f204backed No36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7230%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f20…0360backed No33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765b…1a00backed Yes70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca3…cb95backed No33c199.95$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.893240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes66c199$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2617249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e09…a4edbacked Yes65c192.01$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a54…e581backed Yes64c155.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.124553.3%24 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf88b…aeb5backed Yes67c150.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked No31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.511439.5%45 W · 69 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.53638.9%14 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36ce…0e38backed Yes64c147$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.92742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-38.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c2b…aa95backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-49.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4635…a60abacked Yes69c144.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.921145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Yes64c124.04$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.043237.5%12 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick27cpaid-6.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f56…1b3fbacked Yes69c118.94$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.87540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes68c116.9$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4117050.6%86 W · 84 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34b8…ca17backed Yes69c109.65$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Yes67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333447.1%16 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72f4…3d96backed Yes67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85db…0d12backed Yes65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.925554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf0a…875bbacked Yes65c75.58$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.45540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick72cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.533345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa430…0de1backed Yes69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked Yes68c68.41$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.591741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3493…40afbacked Yes68c68.26$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.842147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3f…af73backed Yes65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.54560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…1c65backed Yes67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.74551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced0…c680backed Yes68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e12…176cbacked Yes65c58.8$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.83464.7%22 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes64c49.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1810454.8%57 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb03…2276backed Yes67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.317655.3%42 W · 34 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ee6…e184backed Yes64c34.21$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No33c34.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.219046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0774…da5dbacked Yes60c34.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8516…293dbacked Yes64c33.33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-60.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No36c33.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1240355.3%223 W · 180 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0277…0677backed Yes66c31.82$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97b6…0acebacked Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca34…0429backed Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42da…304cbacked Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes66c30.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97363%46 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce20…bb8abacked Yes62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.42065%13 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ef…f8c1backed Yes68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-75.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5666…7949backed Yes68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.413100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23bf…5592backed Yes68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe081…2b52backed Yes68c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No35c29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1578927.5%217 W · 572 L+2.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.