Fifa International · resolved market
Will Korea Republic win on 2025-10-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a929c89d76e9c335f3b3570358cdbfffc89ad4feaa98c92e2a1ff455c4a7da8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 17c | 12,906$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.3 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…e11fbacked Yes | 17c | 4,093$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.07 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 13c | 3,100$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.98 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 17c | 3,000$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.54 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 11c | 3,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 13c | 897.34$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.87 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa165…1305backed Yes | 14c | 800$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Yes | 12c | 799.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed Yes | 2c | 716.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 14c | 702.49$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb467…acebbacked Yes | 16c | 433$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 14c | 380$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc79…a172backed Yes | 16c | 353.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed Yes | 14c | 341.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…9613backed Yes | 14c | 290.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 12c | 258.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74b0…d410backed Yes | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa78c…cb69backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Yes | 16c | 187.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…0677backed Yes | 16c | 168.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 14c | 136.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…409fbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…e683backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851a…6c58backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ed…9091backed Yes | 19c | 87.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3d…bdddbacked Yes | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0860…d30fbacked Yes | 17c | 72.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…9486backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Korea Republic win on 2025-10-10?this page
- Will Brazil win on 2025-10-10?Yes won
- Will Korea Republic vs. Brazil end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.