College Football · resolved market
Kansas vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d926c048c014b5c463e4ccd8b9e7c7cb94f918c1796c77a8f99a8fe27f05350
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Tech Red Raidersof Kansas, Texas Tech Red Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Kansas | 17c | 44,009$7,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,585.87 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kansas | 19c | 14,669$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.09 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kansas | 0c | 10,780$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kansas | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 79c | 6,079$4,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.71 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Kansas | 16c | 6,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 79c | 4,933$3,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.46 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kansas | 16c | 4,406$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.96 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Kansas | 18c | 3,434$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.84 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Kansas | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kansas | 17c | 2,736$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.12 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Kansas | 0c | 2,140$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Kansas | 17c | 1,284$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.28 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Kansas | 13c | 1,200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.2 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Kansas | 18c | 1,117$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Kansas | 17c | 1,100$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Kansas | 8c | 912.19$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Kansas | 22c | 898.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Kansas | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…f8c1backed Kansas | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 78c | 387.19$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Kansas | 16c | 314.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Kansas | 18c | 250.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…0f2dbacked Kansas | 22c | 236.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…d6abbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 77c | 227.09$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Kansas | 5c | 205.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8c…672ebacked Kansas | 16c | 202.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…677ebacked Kansas | 19c | 198.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed Kansas | 16c | 154.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 78c | 133.18$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Kansas | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Kansas | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Kansas | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Kansas | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Kansas | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 67c | 54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 79c | 28.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 75c | 17.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersthis page
- Kansas vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 59.5Under won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-13.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-14.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.