College Football · resolved market
TCU vs. Kansas State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x573152581ae29e46071ddba0fbfff00fc74c6ef41ed50df47f79e4da1bf4c22a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas Stateof TCU, Kansas State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed TCU | 56c | 57,208$31,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,909.07 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kansas State | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Kansas State | 44c | 20,077$8,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,242.29 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed TCU | 54c | 19,377$10,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,463.63 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Kansas State | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed TCU | 0c | 9,497$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Kansas State | 44c | 9,133$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,113 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Kansas State | 50c | 7,071$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570.54 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked TCU | 30c | 6,907$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.67 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked TCU | 58c | 6,545$3,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,796.1 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Kansas State | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas State | 44c | 4,482$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.71 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kansas State | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed TCU | 54c | 3,071$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.3 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kansas State | 79c | 2,695$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.62 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked TCU | 0c | 2,480$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kansas State | 44c | 2,386$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.16 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed TCU | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kansas State | 44c | 1,937$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.72 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…6d23backed TCU | 54c | 1,860$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.4 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked TCU | 4c | 1,780$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kansas State | 43c | 1,109$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.1 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Kansas State | 44c | 1,093$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.88 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TCU | 14c | 1,035$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.19 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked TCU | 57c | 970.18$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kansas State | 47c | 933.19$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.2 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Kansas State | 59c | 932.2$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.2 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kansas State | 44c | 927.66$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.49 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked TCU | 56c | 910.14$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.47 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked TCU | 57c | 882.87$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.23 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed TCU | 55c | 872.73$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Kansas State | 45c | 865$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.75 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed TCU | 9c | 862$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Kansas State | 40c | 756.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.91 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Kansas State | 43c | 655.1$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.24 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kansas State | 45c | 589.98$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.49 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kansas State | 45c | 589.11$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.47 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed TCU | 60c | 497.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed TCU | 4c | 482.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked TCU | 38c | 448$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.31 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed TCU | 50c | 439.95$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Kansas State | 40c | 426.91$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.57 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…2be0backed Kansas State | 42c | 365.47$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed TCU | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…677ebacked TCU | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked TCU | 32c | 234.57$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked TCU | 27c | 228$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked TCU | 55c | 223.69$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.03 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -6.1wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…f8c1backed Kansas State | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed TCU | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed TCU | 55c | 190$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Kansas State | 58c | 184.23$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.95 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed TCU | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…793bbacked TCU | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafae…8c3cbacked Kansas State | 73c | 170.55$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Kansas State | 44c | 159$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.79 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Kansas State | 45c | 128.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed TCU | 54c | 107.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.6wins | -0.51per pick | 65cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Kansas State | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Kansas State | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Kansas State | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Kansas State | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Kansas State | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked TCU | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Kansas State | 80c | 97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed TCU | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed TCU | 37c | 85.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Kansas State | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…5da2backed TCU | 53c | 71.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…6617backed Kansas State | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked TCU | 55c | 67.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed TCU | 56c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Kansas State | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Kansas State | 45c | 53.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked TCU | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked TCU | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…647bbacked Kansas State | 46c | 48.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked TCU | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Kansas State | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Kansas State | 43c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed TCU | 66c | 43.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Kansas State | 43c | 39.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…0b54backed TCU | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed TCU | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a9bcbacked TCU | 56c | 35.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ff…0d9ebacked TCU | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…c18dbacked Kansas State | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…1c00backed TCU | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed TCU | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…bb3fbacked Kansas State | 46c | 22.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f5…951cbacked TCU | 54c | 22.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- TCU vs. Kansas Statethis page
- O/U 56.5Over won
- Spread: TCU (-1.5)Kansas State won
- Spread: TCU (-2.5)Kansas State won
- TCU vs. Kansas State: O/U 55.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.