MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb848adb1829129d7e5be2dc55cc6bc9e7f3bc5262e3e96ab5e25d8a02184c0e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Padres, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,008,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,029,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,008,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Padres | 43c | 695,152$296,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296,411.14 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Cardinals | 58c | 153,206$88,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,346.52 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Cardinals | 57c | 143,516$81,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,711.99 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cardinals | 57c | 85,000$48,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,450 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Cardinals | 57c | 70,600$40,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,428 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Cardinals | 58c | 60,000$34,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Cardinals | 57c | 44,405$25,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,094.27 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cardinals | 57c | 34,405$19,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,627.56 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cardinals | 57c | 26,722$15,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,454.58 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Cardinals | 57c | 22,568$12,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,638.68 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cardinals | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Padres | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Cardinals | 57c | 18,000$10,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,740 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 9c | 12,372$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.11 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Padres | 25c | 12,021$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,974.03 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cardinals | 57c | 11,811$6,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,092.81 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cardinals | 58c | 9,650$5,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,048.54 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cardinals | 57c | 8,800$5,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,784 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Padres | 45c | 8,700$3,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,914.98 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Cardinals | 55c | 8,277$4,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724.65 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 58c | 6,943$4,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.34 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Cardinals | 58c | 5,857$3,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.73 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Cardinals | 44c | 5,696$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,195.68 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cardinals | 61c | 5,542$3,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…f94fbacked Cardinals | 63c | 5,234$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.1 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 34c | 5,066$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.08 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Cardinals | 59c | 4,722$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.51 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Cardinals | 59c | 4,575$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.58 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Padres | 14c | 4,456$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.25 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Cardinals | 79c | 4,433$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.29 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Padres | 10c | 4,394$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.11 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 21c | 4,298$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.06 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Padres | 42c | 3,500$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Padres | 18c | 3,478$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.38 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Cardinals | 59c | 3,065$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.65 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cardinals | 58c | 2,500$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…b433backed Cardinals | 59c | 2,373$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Padres | 26c | 2,337$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Padres | 43c | 2,316$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.44 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Padres | 61c | 2,300$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 17c | 1,952$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.85 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 20c | 1,867$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.24 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cardinals | 57c | 1,860$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Cardinals | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.05 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Cardinals | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 43c | 1,742$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Cardinals | 58c | 1,700$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.98 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Padres | 42c | 1,680$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.6 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Padres | 28c | 1,600$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Padres | 23c | 1,599$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.18 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Padres | 43c | 1,556$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.83 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Padres | 18c | 1,524$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Padres | 34c | 1,475$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4227…83bbbacked Padres | 42c | 1,469$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Cardinals | 75c | 1,256$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.22 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Padres | 29c | 1,124$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.99 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Padres | 14c | 1,031$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.3 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Padres | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Padres | 54c | 999.11$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.52 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Padres | 44c | 964.57$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.41 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Padres | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Cardinals | 43c | 886.24$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.35 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fb…c2aebacked Padres | 42c | 845.24$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Cardinals | 56c | 812.69$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.4 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cardinals | 58c | 788.29$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.08 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4527…0e7fbacked Cardinals | 58c | 786.58$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Padres | 13c | 785.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Padres | 19c | 785.25$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.62 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Padres | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Padres | 16c | 688.57$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.71 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Cardinals | 59c | 673.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.82 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 25c | 659.43$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.37 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Padres | 41c | 647.94$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.65 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Padres | 42c | 608.98$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.77 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Cardinals | 53c | 608.41$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.88 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cardinals | 67c | 577.2$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Padres | 9c | 559.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Padres | 8c | 531.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Padres | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Padres | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Padres | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Padres | 42c | 499.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cardinals | 54c | 499.95$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.98 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Padres | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…731bbacked Padres | 43c | 485$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Padres | 18c | 442$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Padres | 42c | 441$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.22 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Padres | 31c | 432.56$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Padres | 17c | 411.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a3…5532backed Cardinals | 50c | 403$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Padres | 43c | 400.04$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.02 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Padres | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…f8f2backed Cardinals | 58c | 355$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f6…1e55backed Padres | 27c | 339.95$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.41 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989d…464cbacked Cardinals | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Cardinals | 50c | 324.39$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.55 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…337fbacked Cardinals | 59c | 322$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Padres | 11c | 303$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +300.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Padres | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Padres | 34c | 280$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.