College Football · resolved market
South Carolina vs. LSU
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9d68eb754044004f4ad0f5ed64cdb4e6b28291f1467930f95ea25e4be1c274f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LSUof South Carolina, LSU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $438,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $484,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed LSU | 75c | 205,302$153,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,325.5 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked South Carolina | 25c | 79,110$19,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,777.49 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed South Carolina | 2c | 49,912$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.24 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed South Carolina | 25c | 42,541$10,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,635.36 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked South Carolina | 25c | 27,858$6,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,964.52 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked South Carolina | 21c | 20,217$4,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,305.26 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed South Carolina | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed South Carolina | 26c | 17,500$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cc…658bbacked South Carolina | 26c | 15,398$4,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,061.11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed LSU | 76c | 13,158$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,157.89 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed South Carolina | 24c | 8,965$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.66 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked South Carolina | 25c | 8,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed LSU | 76c | 4,807$3,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.82 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked South Carolina | 24c | 4,629$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked LSU | 78c | 4,086$3,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.61 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed LSU | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked LSU | 74c | 3,741$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.32 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed South Carolina | 24c | 2,968$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.33 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed LSU | 78c | 2,767$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.22 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed LSU | 77c | 2,031$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.12 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked South Carolina | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed South Carolina | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed South Carolina | 26c | 1,939$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.23 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked South Carolina | 19c | 1,536$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.75 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a5…3ec1backed South Carolina | 26c | 1,417$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…50f0backed LSU | 76c | 1,417$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16aa…d710backed South Carolina | 15c | 1,299$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed South Carolina | 16c | 1,235$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.27 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…793bbacked South Carolina | 17c | 1,190$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed LSU | 76c | 1,180$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.12 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…dfafbacked South Carolina | 29c | 1,127$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.83 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked South Carolina | 25c | 1,100$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed South Carolina | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked LSU | 74c | 985.02$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.1 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked LSU | 74c | 856.54$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.82 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LSU | 72c | 590.06$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.2 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f4…874abacked South Carolina | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed South Carolina | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed South Carolina | 18c | 444.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed South Carolina | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed South Carolina | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…2bc6backed South Carolina | 28c | 341.77$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed South Carolina | 24c | 327$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked South Carolina | 21c | 300$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ae…eb14backed South Carolina | 12c | 247.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed South Carolina | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked South Carolina | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed South Carolina | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed South Carolina | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed South Carolina | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed LSU | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked South Carolina | 24c | 132.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed LSU | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…435cbacked South Carolina | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked LSU | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked South Carolina | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2296…f651backed LSU | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…f8c1backed South Carolina | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked LSU | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed LSU | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cb…85eebacked South Carolina | 27c | 91.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb755…c5f5backed South Carolina | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…677ebacked South Carolina | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked South Carolina | 25c | 74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b3…a5d6backed South Carolina | 33c | 72.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked LSU | 75c | 70.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked South Carolina | 26c | 68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked South Carolina | 25c | 58.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked LSU | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ac…b3afbacked South Carolina | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd693…e843backed LSU | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…8ee7backed LSU | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd200…e5f2backed LSU | 75c | 17.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad30…6e8bbacked LSU | 75c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…e456backed LSU | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Carolina vs. LSUthis page
- O/U 44.5Under won
- South Carolina vs. LSU: O/U 43.5Under won
- Spread: LSU (-8.5)LSU won
- Spread: LSU (-9.5)LSU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.