NHL · resolved market

Capitals vs. Rangers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20134f5266449c4931270b708bb2b2d022f4a1ffbef380091359d70ad96b520b

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Capitalsof Capitals, Rangers
Resolved: Oct 12, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,154,863
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,173,541

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,154,863 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 756 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Rangers	51c	600,098$304,682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304,681.72	93	40.9%38 W · 55 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Capitals	52c	200,000$103,971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96,028.68	140	57.9%81 W · 59 L	+10.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Rangers	48c	153,290$73,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73,579.33	167	43.1%72 W · 95 L	-12.8wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Capitals	49c	150,000$73,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76,499.98	49	49%24 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Capitals	50c	102,829$51,147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51,682.18	132	51.5%68 W · 64 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Capitals	58c	46,853$27,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,775.93	448	48.9%219 W · 229 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Capitals	49c	45,665$22,446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,219.23	217	55.3%120 W · 97 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Capitals	49c	45,436$22,431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,004.65	574	53.8%309 W · 265 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Capitals	50c	42,439$21,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,431.91	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals	63c	30,090$18,830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,260.52	1,345	54.8%737 W · 608 L	+21.0wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Capitals	50c	29,515$14,757 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,757.26	107	45.8%49 W · 58 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Capitals	51c	16,973$8,738 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,235.18	928	48.5%450 W · 478 L	+17.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers	49c	15,666$7,689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,688.55	1,891	52.4%991 W · 900 L	+36.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Capitals	49c	15,000$7,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,650.03	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Capitals	54c	14,744$7,995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,748.23	71	49.3%35 W · 36 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Rangers	8c	12,693$1,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,027.48	588	41.8%246 W · 342 L	-20.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Rangers	37c	12,582$4,709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,708.99	263	44.5%117 W · 146 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Capitals	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,100	195	55.4%108 W · 87 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Capitals	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,000	103	56.3%58 W · 45 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa4…e9d2backed Capitals	51c	9,804$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,803.95	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals	49c	9,000$4,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,590	1,441	49.2%709 W · 732 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc8…37adbacked Rangers	50c	8,435$4,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,217.36	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Capitals	50c	8,316$4,171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,144.77	362	42%152 W · 210 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Capitals	51c	7,500$3,825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,674.96	249	45.4%113 W · 136 L	-16.4wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Capitals	49c	7,481$3,687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,794.39	378	47.4%179 W · 199 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Capitals	49c	6,148$3,012 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,135.4	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Rangers	49c	6,000$2,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,939.92	316	54.7%173 W · 143 L	+14.7wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Rangers	27c	4,998$1,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,349.48	185	20.5%38 W · 147 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…e606backed Rangers	51c	4,486$2,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,287.97	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd32…c9c1backed Capitals	50c	4,480$2,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,240	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5df…2f2dbacked Capitals	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Rangers	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rangers	34c	3,983$1,343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,342.6	2,314	46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rangers	38c	3,825$1,469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,468.93	820	43%353 W · 467 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67ec…eb2dbacked Capitals	51c	3,697$1,885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,811.28	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+4.3wins	+0.29per pick	51cpaid	+56.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x56db…171cbacked Capitals	52c	3,300$1,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,599.89	83	60.2%50 W · 33 L	+7.3wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Capitals	64c	3,029$1,944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,085.01	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+4.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Capitals	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4e7…be52backed Rangers	49c	2,800$1,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,372	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c5f…ce1cbacked Capitals	51c	2,708$1,373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,335.34	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+97.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Rangers	50c	2,600$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ef…f8c1backed Rangers	50c	2,600$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Capitals	51c	2,544$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,243.59	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74ea…e906backed Capitals	50c	2,500$1,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,250	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+45.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66c0…3f8bbacked Rangers	52c	2,500$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,299.83	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9d…dc00backed Rangers	49c	2,451$1,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200.98	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a0…6b5abacked Capitals	51c	2,451$1,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200.98	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Rangers	49c	2,377$1,165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,164.9	78	50%39 W · 39 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Capitals	76c	2,264$1,725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$539.74	1,301	52.6%684 W · 617 L	+23.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Rangers	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Capitals	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	428	47.2%202 W · 226 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Capitals	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	976	51.6%504 W · 472 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d16…75e7backed Rangers	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Capitals	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	85	36.5%31 W · 54 L	-11.4wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Rangers	48c	1,980$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950.4	405	50.9%206 W · 199 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Capitals	52c	1,925$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$925.02	106	58.5%62 W · 44 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2668…f995backed Capitals	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.08	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Capitals	50c	1,882$937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$945.35	874	47%411 W · 463 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Rangers	50c	1,820$910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910.18	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a15…af86backed Rangers	50c	1,780$890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$889.98	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35f0…296dbacked Rangers	49c	1,772$868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$868.26	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be7…4690backed Capitals	52c	1,772$921 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$850.52	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Capitals	49c	1,656$811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$844.56	1,434	50.8%728 W · 706 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb22a…8e6cbacked Capitals	52c	1,647$857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$790.74	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3656…4a68backed Rangers	49c	1,633$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab2…644bbacked Capitals	52c	1,630$848 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$782.34	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Capitals	50c	1,600$792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$808	348	45.4%158 W · 190 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9fc…0996backed Rangers	50c	1,540$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770.01	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ec7…7500backed Capitals	51c	1,539$785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$754.22	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Capitals	49c	1,518$751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$766.88	217	50.2%109 W · 108 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Capitals	50c	1,254$627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$627	388	44.6%173 W · 215 L	-17.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers	48c	1,240$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595	1,230	53.7%661 W · 569 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Rangers	48c	1,235$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.81	1,377	49.1%676 W · 701 L	+39.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Capitals	53c	1,202$639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.85	309	46.3%143 W · 166 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rangers	41c	1,149$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.63	1,054	42.5%448 W · 606 L	-25.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0b…25d9backed Capitals	50c	1,100$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10fb…c66cbacked Capitals	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Rangers	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	120	41.7%50 W · 70 L	-10.9wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Capitals	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	543	49.5%269 W · 274 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1c…970fbacked Capitals	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+113.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Capitals	59c	955.53$565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390.4	1,354	52.6%712 W · 642 L	+46.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rangers	41c	944.45$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.8	91	49.5%45 W · 46 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57bb…b3ffbacked Capitals	52c	930.77$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$446.77	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked Rangers	49c	895.29$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.69	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ebb…501fbacked Capitals	51c	860.78$439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.78	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcc…7f66backed Capitals	52c	850.23$442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.11	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Rangers	48c	750$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	66	48.5%32 W · 34 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rangers	48c	727.63$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.26	728	47.9%349 W · 379 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Capitals	71c	639.6$454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.48	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Capitals	50c	611.98$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.67	1,636	50.4%825 W · 811 L	-20.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Capitals	75c	600$452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148	338	48.8%165 W · 173 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75b1…e2e8backed Capitals	51c	562.08$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.42	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rangers	48c	535.54$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.06	695	50.1%348 W · 347 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Capitals	49c	507$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.57	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ea8…ddc0backed Rangers	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	-6.8wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe045…c149backed Rangers	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Rangers	13c	500$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	216	20.4%44 W · 172 L	-11.0wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07dc…aefabacked Capitals	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.23per pick	48cpaid	+47.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedc7…4fafbacked Rangers	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Rangers	49c	495.94$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.01	1,079	54.3%586 W · 493 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Capitals vs. Rangersthis page
Capitals vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Under won
Capitals vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Capitals won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Capitals vs. Rangers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event