MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x419b9983e9e752e63cec66c1c9e26636bf04fe986c61e76c50742c638a8f3ed0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $403,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $468,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 544 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 59,105$26,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,797.82 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Tigers | 56c | 36,888$20,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,824.34 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Blue Jays | 47c | 31,860$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,859.77 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Tigers | 55c | 31,820$17,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,478.66 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Tigers | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,599.81 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Tigers | 55c | 18,553$10,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,204.34 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 14,742$6,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,103.75 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Blue Jays | 37c | 13,592$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,591.86 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Tigers | 56c | 11,515$6,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,396.35 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Blue Jays | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.97 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Tigers | 55c | 9,648$5,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,264.11 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Tigers | 54c | 9,500$5,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,130 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tigers | 58c | 9,433$5,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,430.61 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Blue Jays | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Tigers | 55c | 7,799$4,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,281.8 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Blue Jays | 52c | 7,339$3,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550.05 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Tigers | 63c | 6,780$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,276.58 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Tigers | 71c | 6,666$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…8d45backed Tigers | 54c | 6,295$3,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Tigers | 49c | 4,899$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.52 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Tigers | 1c | 4,580$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Blue Jays | 44c | 4,480$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508.8 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…3b86backed Blue Jays | 46c | 4,400$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Blue Jays | 46c | 4,288$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.73 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Tigers | 53c | 4,105$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.43 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers | 61c | 4,034$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.96 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 55c | 3,824$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.09 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f40…42febacked Tigers | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe638…cd59backed Blue Jays | 46c | 3,480$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Blue Jays | 43c | 3,372$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.12 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…9597backed Blue Jays | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cde…8ec2backed Blue Jays | 46c | 3,260$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Blue Jays | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.99 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Blue Jays | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.99 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Tigers | 55c | 2,772$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.3 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Blue Jays | 38c | 2,622$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.09 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Tigers | 54c | 2,620$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.9 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Tigers | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb22…c471backed Blue Jays | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3c…7c1ebacked Tigers | 54c | 2,300$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Tigers | 55c | 2,273$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5103…88b9backed Tigers | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Blue Jays | 46c | 2,194$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.56 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Blue Jays | 47c | 2,187$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.12 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Blue Jays | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Tigers | 55c | 2,100$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Tigers | 1c | 2,100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d8…f77abacked Blue Jays | 46c | 2,050$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…8150backed Blue Jays | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a8…be6ebacked Blue Jays | 46c | 1,900$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Tigers | 33c | 1,818$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 43c | 1,757$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.01 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…7720backed Tigers | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Tigers | 56c | 1,510$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.88 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Blue Jays | 36c | 1,506$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.36 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Blue Jays | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee73…18e6backed Tigers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Blue Jays | 46c | 1,423$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.56 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Tigers | 56c | 1,423$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.84 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.35 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…8e5ebacked Tigers | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…8d8dbacked Tigers | 54c | 1,119$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefca…5d11backed Blue Jays | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x346d…aa71backed Blue Jays | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf71d…500dbacked Tigers | 54c | 1,096$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Blue Jays | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5da7…9368backed Tigers | 54c | 1,081$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Tigers | 53c | 1,021$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.33 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Blue Jays | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Blue Jays | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Tigers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Blue Jays | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Tigers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tigers | 53c | 992.22$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.88 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ad…9e0cbacked Tigers | 54c | 965$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…8282backed Tigers | 54c | 954$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Tigers | 64c | 944.52$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.49 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…a83fbacked Tigers | 54c | 935$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Blue Jays | 45c | 921.43$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.78 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Tigers | 55c | 908.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.65 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Blue Jays | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Tigers | 58c | 855.53$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Blue Jays | 47c | 854.94$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.32 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Tigers | 12c | 841.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Tigers | 2c | 805.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Blue Jays | 36c | 803.96$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.71 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Tigers | 7c | 801.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…2bd9backed Tigers | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f6…6e69backed Blue Jays | 46c | 727.11$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.64 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Tigers | 52c | 663.39$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.96 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Blue Jays | 43c | 648$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.36 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Tigers | 60c | 614.29$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Blue Jays | 40c | 610.09$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.32 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 609$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.04 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Tigers | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.