NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4104961bf9f25b478b5532858c636cb96d10a21cdb80ff50f8c4e2a44983204
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Penguins, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $568,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $579,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $568,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Penguins | 44c | 310,092$135,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135,356.55 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Ducks | 57c | 84,072$47,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,150.9 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Ducks | 56c | 54,366$30,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,921.04 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Ducks | 57c | 52,585$29,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,637.29 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 46c | 50,705$23,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,396.64 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Penguins | 43c | 38,966$16,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,755.29 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Ducks | 56c | 37,000$20,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,279.95 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Ducks | 56c | 35,555$19,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,644.2 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Ducks | 56c | 32,500$18,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,299.98 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Penguins | 47c | 19,311$9,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,127.55 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Ducks | 52c | 18,957$9,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,049.31 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Ducks | 56c | 16,310$9,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,176.4 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ducks | 56c | 15,608$8,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,888.08 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Ducks | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Penguins | 44c | 13,376$5,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,885.44 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa4…e9d2backed Penguins | 44c | 10,227$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.87 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Ducks | 57c | 10,052$5,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,355.52 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Ducks | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Ducks | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Ducks | 56c | 8,417$4,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,703.48 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Ducks | 56c | 7,915$4,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,481.72 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Ducks | 39c | 5,790$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,542.26 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Penguins | 45c | 5,582$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Ducks | 53c | 5,010$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.6 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…7ed6backed Penguins | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Ducks | 53c | 4,940$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.71 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb1…8455backed Ducks | 57c | 4,701$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Ducks | 54c | 4,583$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.96 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Ducks | 57c | 3,684$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.21 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ducks | 47c | 3,448$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.02 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 55c | 3,335$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.85 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks | 46c | 2,996$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.99 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Penguins | 70c | 2,733$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.87 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Penguins | 54c | 2,357$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Ducks | 52c | 2,293$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Ducks | 56c | 2,250$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…2f2dbacked Penguins | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Penguins | 44c | 2,161$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Ducks | 57c | 2,050$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.49 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Penguins | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Penguins | 48c | 1,961$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.24 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Ducks | 56c | 1,806$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.79 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Penguins | 46c | 1,737$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Penguins | 44c | 1,666$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.03 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Ducks | 55c | 1,626$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.64 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…b4f5backed Penguins | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b48…1769backed Ducks | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Penguins | 55c | 1,513$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.69 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Ducks | 48c | 1,486$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.64 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Ducks | 55c | 1,361$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.66 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Penguins | 48c | 1,340$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Ducks | 55c | 1,271$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.83 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Ducks | 55c | 1,250$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.49 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Penguins | 44c | 1,139$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Penguins | 43c | 1,133$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.92 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Penguins | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Ducks | 56c | 1,035$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.4 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…1f57backed Ducks | 57c | 1,011$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Ducks | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Penguins | 43c | 999.98$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…2037backed Ducks | 56c | 999.96$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.98 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Ducks | 54c | 950.43$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.7 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Ducks | 56c | 939.52$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.39 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Ducks | 56c | 921.43$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.43 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7015…d749backed Ducks | 57c | 910.53$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Penguins | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks | 56c | 875.48$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.7 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Penguins | 60c | 800.44$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.52 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Ducks | 61c | 799.66$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.9 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Penguins | 54c | 752.16$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.17 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Ducks | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…0140backed Penguins | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…0408backed Ducks | 58c | 681$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Ducks | 56c | 680$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Ducks | 53c | 669.64$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Penguins | 63c | 645.62$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Ducks | 54c | 640.32$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.05 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Ducks | 56c | 620.71$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.96 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 49c | 617.99$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.22 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Penguins | 64c | 504.53$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.51 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec6…a530backed Penguins | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Penguins | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Penguins | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Penguins | 50c | 466.71$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penguins | 48c | 465$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.32 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Ducks | 39c | 446.96$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.05 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Ducks | 56c | 428.57$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.57 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…979abacked Penguins | 44c | 374.11$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.61 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Penguins | 46c | 363.36$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.47 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Ducks | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2987…658dbacked Penguins | 44c | 345.45$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Ducks | 56c | 343.25$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.03 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843b…36cabacked Penguins | 44c | 342.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…fc50backed Penguins | 44c | 334.09$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9d…6505backed Penguins | 44c | 313$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Penguins | 43c | 310$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.3 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Ducks | 56c | 309.81$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.32 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Penguins | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Penguins | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Ducksthis page
- Penguins vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.