NFL · resolved market
Chargers vs. Dolphins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce2671dbf70a19b648b0e32aa55be99c70503bc9455a42a68829cc5186492c38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chargersof Chargers, Dolphins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $911,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,008,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $911,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 379 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Chargers | 70c | 236,563$165,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,074.34 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chargers | 63c | 61,840$39,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,729.15 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Dolphins | 41c | 61,565$25,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,381.05 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Dolphins | 32c | 56,716$18,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,409.61 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Dolphins | 27c | 51,669$14,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,186.1 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Chargers | 65c | 40,300$26,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,051.99 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Dolphins | 36c | 35,909$12,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,927.4 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Chargers | 70c | 29,523$20,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,944.16 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Dolphins | 37c | 23,579$8,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,724.12 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Dolphins | 43c | 20,991$9,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,026.13 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Dolphins | 35c | 15,892$5,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,553.18 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Dolphins | 35c | 15,052$5,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,260.11 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Chargers | 64c | 15,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Dolphins | 36c | 12,865$4,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,620.59 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Dolphins | 35c | 12,462$4,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,334.24 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Chargers | 65c | 12,193$7,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,315.43 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Dolphins | 45c | 11,858$5,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,365.99 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Dolphins | 39c | 11,293$4,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,433.47 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Chargers | 65c | 10,918$7,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.76 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Dolphins | 34c | 10,830$3,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,682.3 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Chargers | 71c | 10,777$7,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,153.86 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Chargers | 52c | 10,616$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,115.65 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Dolphins | 35c | 10,470$3,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,664.47 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Chargers | 65c | 10,000$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dolphins | 31c | 9,780$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.86 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Chargers | 63c | 8,806$5,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,258.04 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dolphins | 36c | 8,648$3,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,131.26 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Dolphins | 5c | 7,089$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.56 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | +13.9wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +428.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Dolphins | 35c | 6,756$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.47 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Chargers | 70c | 5,703$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.99 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Chargers | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Chargers | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Chargers | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dolphins | 33c | 4,852$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.31 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa46e…c3b5backed Chargers | 66c | 4,700$3,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chargers | 63c | 4,386$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.61 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Dolphins | 45c | 4,126$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.76 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Chargers | 63c | 3,921$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.86 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Chargers | 71c | 3,416$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Chargers | 57c | 3,343$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Chargers | 64c | 3,210$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.23 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dolphins | 39c | 3,142$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.4 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chargers | 70c | 3,028$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.44 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Dolphins | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Dolphins | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Dolphins | 35c | 2,908$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.99 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Chargers | 64c | 2,900$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.66 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Dolphins | 42c | 2,881$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…6d23backed Dolphins | 36c | 2,800$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Dolphins | 35c | 2,780$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.99 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Chargers | 76c | 2,770$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.81 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chargers | 62c | 2,589$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.81 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Dolphins | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Chargers | 65c | 2,500$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Chargers | 65c | 2,500$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.33 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Dolphins | 34c | 2,410$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.55 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Chargers | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.95 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Dolphins | 35c | 2,373$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.55 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57fb…fb6ebacked Dolphins | 35c | 2,300$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Chargers | 64c | 2,123$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.4 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Dolphins | 22c | 2,065$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.8 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Dolphins | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78cd…5aa0backed Dolphins | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…0856backed Dolphins | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…fdafbacked Dolphins | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Dolphins | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Dolphins | 45c | 1,981$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.9 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Chargers | 66c | 1,971$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.45 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Dolphins | 30c | 1,849$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.72 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Dolphins | 34c | 1,845$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.39 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Dolphins | 37c | 1,827$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.93 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf624…acc7backed Chargers | 66c | 1,757$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x512b…c0c3backed Dolphins | 35c | 1,757$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Chargers | 67c | 1,683$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.14 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Dolphins | 36c | 1,586$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.96 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Chargers | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7433…5930backed Dolphins | 35c | 1,514$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be5…da76backed Chargers | 66c | 1,514$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f1…a92fbacked Chargers | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Chargers | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Dolphins | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Dolphins | 36c | 1,490$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.45 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Chargers | 54c | 1,478$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.59 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Chargers | 60c | 1,465$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.31 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Dolphins | 1c | 1,444$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Chargers | 63c | 1,436$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.38 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Dolphins | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.15 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Dolphins | 35c | 1,245$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.67 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…430cbacked Chargers | 56c | 1,212$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chargers | 56c | 1,148$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.12 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Chargers | 63c | 1,100$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Chargers | 67c | 1,077$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Chargers | 59c | 1,054$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.24 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Dolphins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Dolphins | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7db…ee3ebacked Dolphins | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Dolphins | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf580…516ebacked Dolphins | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Dolphins | 33c | 999.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Chargers | 62c | 977.59$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.49 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chargers vs. Dolphinsthis page
- Chargers vs. Dolphins: O/U 43.5Over won
- Chargers vs. Dolphins: O/U 44.5Over won
- Spread: Chargers (-3.5)Dolphins won
- Spread: Chargers (-4.5)Dolphins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.