MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc734814f6b2b5a0d7fc37bed77f458530f59166c9691c44ca06438790fd1cf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Astros, Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $445,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $507,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $445,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Angels | 44c | 155,297$68,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,330.68 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Angels | 43c | 120,000$51,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,599.98 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Astros | 56c | 105,518$59,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,428.01 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Astros | 57c | 80,000$45,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,400 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Astros | 68c | 47,435$32,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,308.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Astros | 65c | 42,017$27,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,829.98 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Astros | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Astros | 57c | 13,887$7,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,010.28 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Angels | 43c | 13,742$5,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,908.95 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Angels | 14c | 12,841$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.13 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Angels | 44c | 11,555$5,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,084.2 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Astros | 58c | 8,138$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,417.93 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Angels | 43c | 5,010$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.25 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Angels | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…a3d2backed Astros | 57c | 3,804$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.72 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Astros | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.93 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Angels | 12c | 3,403$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.87 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Astros | 56c | 3,177$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.59 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Angels | 1c | 2,690$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Angels | 21c | 2,674$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Astros | 57c | 2,270$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.95 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Astros | 57c | 2,250$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.5 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Angels | 27c | 2,200$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.03 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Angels | 4c | 2,136$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Astros | 58c | 2,107$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.92 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Astros | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Angels | 44c | 1,789$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.16 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Angels | 17c | 1,707$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.33 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Angels | 1c | 1,660$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Angels | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.98 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Angels | 42c | 1,135$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.88 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Angels | 43c | 1,095$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.85 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Angels | 33c | 1,091$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.14 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Angels | 43c | 1,016$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.64 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Astros | 57c | 1,006$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.69 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Angels | 43c | 1,000$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.04 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Astros | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7297…814ebacked Angels | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Angels | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Astros | 57c | 878$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.54 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Angels | 42c | 835.45$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.89 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Astros | 70c | 767.54$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.68 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Angels | 43c | 703.51$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.51 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Angels | 43c | 684.16$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.19 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Angels | 6c | 503.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa66…1c5bbacked Angels | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Angels | 17c | 497.96$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.59 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Angels | 5c | 474$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Angels | 5c | 418.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c86…f1f1backed Astros | 79c | 377.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Astros | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Angels | 42c | 352$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.84 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Astros | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…0856backed Astros | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Astros | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Astros | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Angels | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Angels | 40c | 288.89$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.83 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Angels | 20c | 265.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Angels | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Angels | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…bc18backed Astros | 66c | 181.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Astros | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Astros | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Angels | 9c | 172$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Astros | 58c | 168.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Astros | 61c | 163.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3853…a3d3backed Astros | 56c | 161.83$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 56c | 150.24$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Angels | 14c | 139.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 111 | 16.2%18 W · 93 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -11%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Angels | 43c | 136.36$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Astros | 54c | 132.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Astros | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Angels | 44c | 128.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Astros | 70c | 127.29$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Angels | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…5364backed Astros | 56c | 119.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…73fdbacked Angels | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…120abacked Angels | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bd…1b9ebacked Angels | 52c | 109.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Astros | 57c | 104.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Angels | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Angels | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Astros | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…b55ebacked Astros | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…c9d3backed Astros | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Angels | 17c | 95.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Astros | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Angels | 46c | 85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Angels | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Angels | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17fd…252cbacked Angels | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Astros | 54c | 75.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Astros | 59c | 70.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ff…a245backed Astros | 57c | 66.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81da…421bbacked Astros | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Astros | 57c | 51.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Angels | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.