NFL · resolved market

Lions vs. Bengals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4023055ab3eca1b87706cb8caa9f65c9b6257cd5a06a2b5332993c85764a874

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Lionsof Lions, Bengals
Resolved: Oct 5, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,552,239
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,488,899

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,552,239 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Bengals	18c	433,637$79,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79,354.82	225	48.4%109 W · 116 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Bengals	20c	399,880$79,976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79,976.04	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+5.5wins	+0.17per pick	42cpaid	+45.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Bengals	18c	353,587$62,828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62,827.87	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Bengals	18c	90,000$16,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,200	195	53.8%105 W · 90 L	+16.1wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Bengals	17c	62,415$10,611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,610.6	312	40.7%127 W · 185 L	-22.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Lions	80c	36,356$29,085 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,271.27	246	52%128 W · 118 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Bengals	18c	30,000$5,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,400	74	40.5%30 W · 44 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Bengals	16c	21,635$3,462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,461.53	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Bengals	17c	20,200$3,442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,442.38	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Bengals	16c	14,000$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	176	47.7%84 W · 92 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Bengals	18c	13,992$2,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,508.45	173	48%83 W · 90 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Lions	80c	12,925$10,303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,622.34	533	48.4%258 W · 275 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Bengals	0c	12,635$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.6	77	33.8%26 W · 51 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bengals	11c	12,209$1,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,347.08	200	26%52 W · 148 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bengals	19c	10,586$1,975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,975.29	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Lions	80c	10,000$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	66	45.5%30 W · 36 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Bengals	0c	8,500$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Bengals	5c	8,351$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.85	300	43.7%131 W · 169 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Bengals	0c	7,782$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	684	46.1%315 W · 369 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Bengals	17c	5,987$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	163	44.8%73 W · 90 L	+9.0wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Bengals	19c	5,982$1,137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,136.58	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Bengals	1c	5,661$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.73	112	8%9 W · 103 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+413.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Bengals	17c	4,009$682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.57	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-2.7wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Bengals	17c	3,914$665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$665.32	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Bengals	1c	3,475$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.65	148	6.8%10 W · 138 L	+6.7wins	+0.05per pick	2cpaid	+296.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Bengals	1c	3,400$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.3	101	3%3 W · 98 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Bengals	16c	3,183$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.87	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bff…331cbacked Bengals	18c	3,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.97	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Bengals	19c	2,631$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.89	181	40.9%74 W · 107 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Bengals	18c	2,615$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.56	273	39.2%107 W · 166 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked Bengals	18c	2,485$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.3	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Bengals	21c	2,381$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Bengals	1c	2,164$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.23	431	1.6%7 W · 424 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-82.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b3…5773backed Bengals	11c	2,018$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.27per pick	40cpaid	+24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Bengals	5c	1,750$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	284	36.3%103 W · 181 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed Bengals	18c	1,719$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.49	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	28cpaid	+38%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Bengals	16c	1,582$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.12	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31ac…392cbacked Bengals	19c	1,571$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.57	67	43.3%29 W · 38 L	+8.4wins	+0.13per pick	31cpaid	+39.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Bengals	17c	1,562$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.54	51	23.5%12 W · 39 L	-8.1wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked Bengals	18c	1,182$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.81	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.13per pick	33cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Bengals	18c	1,080$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.4	276	33.3%92 W · 184 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Bengals	6c	1,031$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.97	134	35.8%48 W · 86 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Bengals	8c	1,000$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	142	15.5%22 W · 120 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x114f…42c6backed Bengals	21c	1,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bengals	19c	995$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.05	273	48.7%133 W · 140 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02ee…0938backed Bengals	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Lions	78c	703$552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.33	202	38.6%78 W · 124 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Bengals	18c	692.13$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.93	145	32.4%47 W · 98 L	+8.5wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+77.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bengals	18c	670.5$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.69	363	41.9%152 W · 211 L	-13.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08d3…46a6backed Bengals	10c	638.7$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.87	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcec6…47c1backed Bengals	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+50.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Bengals	18c	580$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.4	106	29.2%31 W · 75 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Bengals	18c	570.59$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.18	318	54.7%174 W · 144 L	+16.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Bengals	11c	536.36$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Bengals	18c	500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	224	46.4%104 W · 120 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Bengals	22c	479.5$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.49	240	54.6%131 W · 109 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed Bengals	18c	394.22$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.96	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f9b…d771backed Bengals	9c	362.55$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.6	56	26.8%15 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2862…b2ddbacked Bengals	17c	300$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	83	25.3%21 W · 62 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Bengals	18c	300$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Bengals	20c	300$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	81	29.6%24 W · 57 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Bengals	17c	300$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	121	33.9%41 W · 80 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c88…f02dbacked Bengals	18c	294.44$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa015…aa0abacked Bengals	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked Bengals	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	44	22.7%10 W · 34 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-35%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2af2…9aa5backed Bengals	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a03…47c1backed Bengals	12c	284$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	50	52%26 W · 24 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7361…22dfbacked Bengals	18c	218.44$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.32	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.37per pick	30cpaid	+109.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d22…ec35backed Bengals	17c	200$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Lions	79c	200$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	212	51.9%110 W · 102 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Bengals	18c	193.78$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.88	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Bengals	18c	171.94$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.95	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Bengals	18c	159.33$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.68	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3582…8fc6backed Bengals	17c	147.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	81	30.9%25 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc0…ed8fbacked Bengals	21c	142.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	25cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c36…9719backed Lions	78c	128$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.16	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Bengals	17c	125$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.25	205	42%86 W · 119 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6a7…5049backed Bengals	18c	120$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Bengals	17c	118$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.06	304	42.4%129 W · 175 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc8ca…5ecbbacked Bengals	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe99…f618backed Bengals	18c	112.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-7.1wins	-0.17per pick	29cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Bengals	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	73	34.2%25 W · 48 L	-7.2wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x772e…a7eebacked Bengals	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	54	27.8%15 W · 39 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eac…e064backed Bengals	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5747…120abacked Bengals	18c	110$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec68…581dbacked Bengals	18c	105.56$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b4…ba69backed Bengals	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	48cpaid	-55.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb25c…a14fbacked Bengals	18c	103$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.54	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.37per pick	30cpaid	+124.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dea…9e90backed Bengals	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.15per pick	25cpaid	+74%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Bengals	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	230	24.3%56 W · 174 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Bengals	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Bengals	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	242	43.4%105 W · 137 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc02…958abacked Bengals	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde0b…b4a7backed Bengals	12c	99.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+3.4wins	+0.15per pick	33cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Lions	79c	89.59$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.81	375	56.3%211 W · 164 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa614…70a4backed Bengals	20c	87.95$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.59	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d81…bf65backed Bengals	18c	81.94$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.75	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2145…1c57backed Bengals	18c	77.78$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e12…b19bbacked Bengals	18c	72.22$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+20%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc344…6b41backed Bengals	18c	66.67$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+20%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lions vs. Bengals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event