NFL · resolved market
Titans vs. Texans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf58eb28bb922427619e371903feb61299d311f36e11dd1ea650a4832df6fc1d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texansof Titans, Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $250,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Titans | 20c | 47,458$9,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,631.72 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Texans | 80c | 37,082$29,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,470.45 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Titans | 22c | 12,765$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808.29 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Texans | 77c | 10,254$7,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.42 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Titans | 18c | 10,000$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.98 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Titans | 23c | 9,835$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.05 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Texans | 77c | 8,523$6,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.28 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Texans | 77c | 8,364$6,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.72 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Titans | 25c | 3,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Texans | 77c | 3,464$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.69 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Texans | 76c | 2,500$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texans | 75c | 2,165$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.08 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Texans | 77c | 2,147$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.93 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f52…38c8backed Titans | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Titans | 19c | 2,069$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.78 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Texans | 77c | 2,002$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.41 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Texans | 77c | 2,000$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.01 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Titans | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Titans | 23c | 1,895$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.8 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Texans | 77c | 1,839$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Texans | 77c | 1,621$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.8 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Texans | 79c | 1,610$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.15 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Titans | 23c | 1,533$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.58 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de9…ee25backed Titans | 9c | 1,527$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Titans | 23c | 1,502$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.39 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Texans | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.98 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Titans | 23c | 1,384$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.32 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…2d2dbacked Texans | 77c | 1,298$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.54 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Titans | 1c | 1,240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Titans | 23c | 1,215$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.45 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Titans | 1c | 1,199$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Titans | 20c | 1,144$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.39 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Texans | 76c | 1,111$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.64 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Texans | 78c | 1,051$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.28 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -10.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…4d18backed Titans | 13c | 1,008$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Titans | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Titans | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8714…4750backed Titans | 17c | 887.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Titans | 23c | 880$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Titans | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Texans | 77c | 784$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.32 | 143 | 66.4%95 W · 48 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Texans | 77c | 731.49$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.91 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c62…fe5abacked Titans | 23c | 699.94$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…c07fbacked Titans | 23c | 685$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.05 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…955bbacked Titans | 14c | 661.9$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked Titans | 23c | 647.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Titans | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 121 | 33.9%41 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Titans | 23c | 593.8$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.57 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Titans | 15c | 564.02$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Titans | 24c | 520.83$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Texans | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Titans | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…0673backed Titans | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Titans | 23c | 499.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.99 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Titans | 25c | 431$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.75 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Titans | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…ce35backed Texans | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Texans | 77c | 378$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Titans | 22c | 361.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e19…ee3ebacked Titans | 14c | 360$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Titans | 19c | 350$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Texans | 78c | 317.91$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…8568backed Texans | 78c | 313$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Texans | 76c | 308.16$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Titans | 18c | 294.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…20f1backed Titans | 21c | 259$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b9…5455backed Titans | 12c | 255.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Titans | 23c | 252$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed Titans | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -6.4wins | -0.40per pick | 53cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Titans | 18c | 216.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Texans | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f53…1081backed Titans | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked Texans | 77c | 181.95$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 148 | 60.8%90 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Texans | 77c | 176.31$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x010d…029ebacked Titans | 23c | 156.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Titans | 24c | 149.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Texans | 78c | 141.29$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde1…187fbacked Texans | 78c | 140$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…120abacked Titans | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Titans | 24c | 133$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…6202backed Titans | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Texans | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9b…705ebacked Texans | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Texans | 77c | 129.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Texans | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Titans | 25c | 107$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Titans | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Titans | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Texans | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a74…d69ebacked Titans | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…24e6backed Texans | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Titans | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Titans | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Texans | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Texans | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Titans | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Texans | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 209 | 50.7%106 W · 103 L | -15.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc0…4ce8backed Titans | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…bfdfbacked Texans | 78c | 92.31$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…0c7abacked Titans | 23c | 91.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Titans vs. Texansthis page
- Spread: Texans (-6.5)Texans won
- Spread: Texans (-7.5)Texans won
- Titans vs. Texans: O/U 39.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.