NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb398b03b5760e3926bbdcbddd896c4ed3e99a01e9457d30b4e27b0fe251c95d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Islanders, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,219,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,226,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,219,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Penguins | 46c | 797,530$368,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428,839.89 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Islanders | 54c | 245,628$131,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131,657.55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Islanders | 54c | 151,887$81,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,649.89 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Islanders | 54c | 125,000$67,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,000 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Penguins | 45c | 120,000$54,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,999.95 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Islanders | 55c | 102,763$56,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,219.61 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Islanders | 54c | 65,050$35,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,127 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Islanders | 53c | 60,000$31,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,800 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Islanders | 54c | 50,000$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,000 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Penguins | 47c | 32,600$15,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,120 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Islanders | 54c | 25,555$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,799.7 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Islanders | 55c | 25,000$13,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,750 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Islanders | 51c | 23,432$11,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,950.08 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Islanders | 55c | 16,486$9,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,066.63 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Islanders | 55c | 15,779$8,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,680 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Islanders | 55c | 11,866$6,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,516.36 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Islanders | 53c | 10,000$5,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,349.99 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Islanders | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.91 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Islanders | 54c | 9,000$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,860 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Islanders | 53c | 8,911$4,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,723.21 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Islanders | 55c | 8,700$4,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,785 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders | 55c | 8,093$4,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,470.22 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Islanders | 9c | 7,781$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.79 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Islanders | 54c | 7,500$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Penguins | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Islanders | 54c | 6,996$3,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,777.71 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…6426backed Islanders | 55c | 6,671$3,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,669 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Islanders | 55c | 6,339$3,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,486.24 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Islanders | 57c | 5,873$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Penguins | 46c | 5,517$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,979.42 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8831…2b4bbacked Penguins | 46c | 5,115$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Penguins | 55c | 5,102$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.64 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Islanders | 27c | 4,978$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.51 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Penguins | 47c | 4,866$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.42 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…ae9fbacked Penguins | 46c | 4,580$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Islanders | 55c | 4,560$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…3172backed Islanders | 56c | 4,500$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Islanders | 54c | 4,318$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.79 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.99 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Islanders | 54c | 3,869$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.1 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6f…5fc8backed Islanders | 55c | 3,780$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Islanders | 54c | 3,667$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.26 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Islanders | 55c | 3,478$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.9 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Islanders | 48c | 3,188$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.05 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9d…dc00backed Islanders | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…6b5abacked Penguins | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Penguins | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.97 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Penguins | 44c | 2,889$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.06 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Penguins | 46c | 2,373$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.5 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Islanders | 43c | 2,343$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.15 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf537…f248backed Islanders | 55c | 2,300$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…a557backed Islanders | 55c | 2,233$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.14 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Penguins | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Islanders | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Penguins | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Islanders | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…b735backed Penguins | 46c | 1,871$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…8ad2backed Islanders | 56c | 1,871$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…f4f4backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d99…cb50backed Penguins | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Islanders | 55c | 1,432$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.6 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cc…0f4cbacked Penguins | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 54cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Islanders | 55c | 1,333$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.34 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0824…1e48backed Islanders | 56c | 1,300$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…e166backed Penguins | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…66a1backed Islanders | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Penguins | 42c | 1,272$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.01 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders | 52c | 1,252$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.37 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Islanders | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 59c | 1,186$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.38 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Penguins | 46c | 1,152$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.42 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Islanders | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2c…355fbacked Islanders | 54c | 1,050$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…1ae8backed Penguins | 46c | 1,000$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a9…0b72backed Penguins | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Islanders | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…84fabacked Islanders | 56c | 1,000$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Islanders | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0d…8d9dbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda8…2fd6backed Islanders | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702f…3375backed Islanders | 55c | 990.91$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Penguins | 47c | 954.99$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.14 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Islanders | 53c | 952.13$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…2aeabacked Islanders | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Islanders | 54c | 893$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.22 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…c46abacked Islanders | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Islanders | 54c | 827.99$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.12 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Islanders | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Islanders | 65c | 758.53$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.31 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Islanders | 55c | 699.94$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.97 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Islanders | 53c | 620$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.8 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Penguins | 51c | 612.63$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.68 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac7…2e33backed Islanders | 54c | 607.02$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7610…6718backed Islanders | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Islanders | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Islanders | 52c | 553.25$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.69 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Islanders | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Islanders | 55c | 526.02$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.88 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Islanders | 52c | 519.13$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.23 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Islanders | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Penguinsthis page
- Islanders vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.