TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Dodgers vs. Brewers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dodgersof Dodgers, Brewers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,290,160
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,394,522

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,290,160 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 484 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Dodgers58c1,043,113$605,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438,107.591338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5afb…4511backed Brewers42c727,476$305,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305,236.821241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Brewers42c156,768$65,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,842.567753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Dodgers58c146,000$85,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,8261560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Dodgers58c113,999$66,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,879.746855.9%38 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Brewers10c110,723$11,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,170.8815353.6%82 W · 71 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Brewers41c110,000$45,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,099.957651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers62c70,907$44,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,804.811,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Brewers41c59,467$24,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,381.491,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Dodgers59c59,164$35,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,036.1363152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Dodgers58c50,800$29,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,33654051.1%276 W · 264 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Brewers42c34,000$14,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,2806653%35 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Brewers18c30,614$5,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,558.114965.3%32 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Brewers42c30,500$12,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,81026355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Brewers42c22,222$9,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,333.2430255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Dodgers58c20,000$11,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4002356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee50…7ed6backed Dodgers59c20,000$11,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,2002100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Brewers41c20,000$8,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,20043949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Brewers6c17,462$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.1996133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Dodgers59c15,656$9,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,415.022445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Brewers41c15,000$6,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,149.9940%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Brewers17c14,778$2,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,460.711,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dodgers73c14,141$10,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,836.2546239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Brewers42c11,905$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00063052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Brewers30c10,242$3,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,102.637341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Brewers41c10,117$4,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,147.9413246.2%61 W · 71 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Brewers42c7,441$3,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,125.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Dodgers59c6,548$3,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,684.4811544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers26c6,192$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.691,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Dodgers57c6,037$3,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,591.2178445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Brewers50c5,967$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Dodgers58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Brewers42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10044749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Brewers1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503112.9%4 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+339.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Dodgers58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.987349.3%36 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Brewers12c4,988$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.581,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Dodgers59c4,773$2,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,956.9876456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers58c4,566$2,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.72,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce5…bdafbacked Brewers28c4,414$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.3944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Dodgers58c4,271$2,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.6712,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers62c4,056$2,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.782,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Dodgers57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.981,35850.8%690 W · 668 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Brewers41c3,589$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.5973149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Brewers26c3,500$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90127733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9353…4229backed Brewers43c3,488$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Dodgers58c3,448$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.161,40848.8%687 W · 721 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Brewers42c3,380$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.5939041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Brewers6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.982123.8%5 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+254.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Brewers41c3,227$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.8820747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Brewers33c2,878$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.0254941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Brewers34c2,844$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.249,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Dodgers55c2,725$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.2533554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff8c…ed91backed Dodgers58c2,600$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Dodgers59c2,542$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.371070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Brewers12c2,534$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.7479740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Brewers42c2,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05010647.2%50 W · 56 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Brewers42c2,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05019252.6%101 W · 91 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1c…970fbacked Brewers42c2,400$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63c6…4cc5backed Dodgers58c2,400$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Brewers42c2,380$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.51,21540.5%492 W · 723 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Dodgers57c2,161$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.961,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d1a…4c01backed Brewers17c2,026$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33940%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Dodgers59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8205844.8%26 W · 32 L-7.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-19.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Brewers43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8605648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Brewers41c1,932$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.317363%46 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Dodgers58c1,900$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7981,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Brewers42c1,888$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.161,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f0c…8ffcbacked Dodgers59c1,762$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.271776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+40%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Dodgers58c1,725$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.592050%460 W · 460 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa218…94cdbacked Brewers6c1,709$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.031428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Dodgers59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.922259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71b3…a5d6backed Dodgers58c1,686$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.431154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Brewers22c1,570$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35023048.7%112 W · 118 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Dodgers64c1,545$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.58454.8%46 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Dodgers59c1,525$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.4213354.9%73 W · 60 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Brewers41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6156550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Dodgers65c1,490$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.598,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed Brewers41c1,454$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Dodgers59c1,444$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.041145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Brewers42c1,423$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.8553448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Brewers27c1,312$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.0260052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Brewers24c1,299$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.542045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4073…a990backed Dodgers59c1,186$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Brewers34c1,121$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.377634.2%26 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Brewers27c1,104$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017136.8%63 W · 108 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Dodgers58c1,100$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.111551.3%59 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Dodgers78c1,091$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.6918151.4%93 W · 88 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Dodgers58c1,072$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.241,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Brewers19c1,064$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20320523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Dodgers58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…8c78backed Brewers42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Dodgers58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42022142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Dodgers70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Brewers26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-70.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10fb…c66cbacked Dodgers58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c8…a40dbacked Dodgers58c999.99$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Brewers42c952.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40066748.7%325 W · 342 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Dodgers57c903.36$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.451,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09e3…48acbacked Dodgers58c861.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.03850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers27c860.63$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.784,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.