MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadcac76f64b2177f5cd47d5edd290c278a29957e57d33aeeaee4c599659b65e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Yankees, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $912,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $929,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $912,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 318,006$133,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184,443.5 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Blue Jays | 43c | 163,107$70,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,970.81 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yankees | 58c | 155,281$89,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,757.11 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yankees | 57c | 102,612$58,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,488.95 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Yankees | 58c | 80,264$46,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,553.34 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yankees | 58c | 60,000$34,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,499.96 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yankees | 49c | 56,996$28,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,082.62 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Yankees | 56c | 53,788$30,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,222.26 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Yankees | 58c | 48,440$28,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,095.43 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 48,212$20,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,011.5 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Yankees | 16c | 40,756$6,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,403.72 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yankees | 58c | 24,772$14,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,367.89 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yankees | 58c | 24,454$14,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,183.12 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Blue Jays | 42c | 21,117$8,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,247.84 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Yankees | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,600 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,599.91 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 17,726$7,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,978.96 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Yankees | 1c | 14,812$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 13,518$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,068.4 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Blue Jays | 43c | 10,904$4,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,216.61 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1eb…f5b9backed Yankees | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 31c | 8,444$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.89 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a27…b9ddbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 7,846$3,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,550.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Blue Jays | 69c | 6,738$4,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.99 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Yankees | 0c | 6,430$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed Yankees | 58c | 6,290$3,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,648.2 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f7…28bfbacked Blue Jays | 69c | 5,798$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yankees | 1c | 5,500$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…994abacked Blue Jays | 42c | 5,127$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,973.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Blue Jays | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Blue Jays | 72c | 4,621$3,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.45 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yankees | 54c | 4,600$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.22 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yankees | 3c | 4,091$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Yankees | 57c | 3,855$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.21 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 65c | 3,555$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.92 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…9f2bbacked Yankees | 58c | 3,496$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…252ebacked Blue Jays | 42c | 3,400$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Blue Jays | 68c | 3,392$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.22 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Blue Jays | 59c | 3,229$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.14 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Blue Jays | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 2,899$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.89 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yankees | 0c | 2,727$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Blue Jays | 57c | 2,639$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.81 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 57c | 2,639$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.09 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e62…ec52backed Yankees | 58c | 2,600$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Blue Jays | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…867ebacked Yankees | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Blue Jays | 41c | 2,400$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.98 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Blue Jays | 69c | 2,143$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.48 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…2cfdbacked Yankees | 2c | 2,050$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yankees | 57c | 2,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yankees | 58c | 2,000$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Yankees | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Blue Jays | 47c | 1,887$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Yankees | 1c | 1,850$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…fdcabacked Yankees | 59c | 1,805$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Blue Jays | 42c | 1,769$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.87 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…5b1ebacked Yankees | 58c | 1,680$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…e036backed Yankees | 12c | 1,639$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd3…f7d3backed Blue Jays | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…a3bcbacked Blue Jays | 43c | 1,463$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yankees | 28c | 1,443$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.15 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Blue Jays | 58c | 1,396$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.88 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays | 43c | 1,395$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.35 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 44c | 1,392$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.29 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yankees | 49c | 1,381$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.87 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Blue Jays | 68c | 1,303$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.85 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yankees | 53c | 1,300$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.9 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce0…6633backed Blue Jays | 42c | 1,230$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Blue Jays | 77c | 1,176$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.65 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Blue Jays | 72c | 1,170$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.59 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yankees | 57c | 1,163$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.79 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Yankees | 58c | 1,036$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.82 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Blue Jays | 49c | 1,031$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.1 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yankees | 7c | 999.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Blue Jays | 41c | 974.09$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.71 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yankees | 4c | 838.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43da…7457backed Yankees | 44c | 825.1$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yankees | 22c | 717.87$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 42c | 700$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Blue Jays | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Yankees | 58c | 678$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.24 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +7.0wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Yankees | 57c | 666$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.62 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -5.3wins | -0.33per pick | 52cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…64dabacked Yankees | 16c | 641.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Blue Jays | 43c | 606.19$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.53 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yankees | 9c | 600$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yankees | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Blue Jays | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Yankees | 57c | 549.98$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.49 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…ee42backed Blue Jays | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9200…46f9backed Blue Jays | 67c | 495.21$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Blue Jays | 41c | 486$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.74 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Blue Jays | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Yankees | 58c | 450$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Yankees | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yankees | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Blue Jays | 42c | 416.66$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.66 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 63c | 413.99$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.94 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yankees | 58c | 407$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.06 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yankees vs. Blue Jaysthis page
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.