La Liga · resolved market
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10ac2ed6c3db8ce16f3f31bef34d49beb05ac7481a783e707df7f6925eadeace
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 64c | 19,164$12,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,939.31 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 37c | 14,000$5,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,232.37 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed No | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Yes | 37c | 3,744$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 62c | 3,415$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.8 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked No | 64c | 3,140$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 62cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.98 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…2927backed Yes | 16c | 2,938$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed No | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 64c | 1,934$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.2 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 26c | 1,840$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.85 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 1,700$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.43 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 35c | 1,610$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.61 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 36c | 1,580$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.8 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 63c | 1,538$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.13 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 63c | 1,330$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.16 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 36c | 1,261$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.99 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 38c | 1,259$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.42 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.91 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 63c | 1,028$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.44 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…713abacked Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 62c | 999.97$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 62c | 999.89$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.96 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 13c | 948.77$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.34 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 38c | 881$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.78 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 63c | 873$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.01 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 36c | 738$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.68 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x924f…d049backed Yes | 35c | 698.45$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.77 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf540…cc07backed Yes | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 64c | 633$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.88 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 70c | 607.7$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.74 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 36c | 578$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.08 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 38c | 509$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.42 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…d129backed Yes | 17c | 446.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 36c | 440$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 23c | 439.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf99c…6ec3backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 62c | 399.97$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.99 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 27c | 397.22$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…9bedbacked Yes | 13c | 350$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Yes | 14c | 307.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked No | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…8278backed Yes | 38c | 297.37$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2844…5aa1backed Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 63c | 282.65$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.58 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 7c | 280.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…2f37backed No | 80c | 273.63$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Yes | 13c | 258.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 13c | 240.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 21c | 239.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 27c | 223.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 19c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 62c | 199.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 191.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Yes | 19c | 187.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 13c | 183$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 62c | 180$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 62c | 180$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 62c | 179.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 62c | 179.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e76…caabbacked Yes | 37c | 175.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 24c | 163.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Yes | 33c | 150.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c7…aa79backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a5…eff8backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2932…3ae8backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 67c | 131.34$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 21c | 131.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 38c | 130.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…bc29backed Yes | 36c | 120.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Yes | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 37c | 118.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…3ba2backed Yes | 39c | 112.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…7616backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 13c | 102.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.