TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,997
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$211,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,997 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcccc…dbddbacked No69c60,025$41,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,377.233351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes31c46,325$14,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,964.551,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Yes65c17,134$11,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,043.136566.2%43 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes33c4,285$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,850.624,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes31c3,916$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,689.311,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7652…c6c5backed Yes66c3,876$2,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.72580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+41.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes32c3,110$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,118.4817252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d72…5032backed No69c2,902$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No45c2,386$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.1690843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8694…b16dbacked No68c2,182$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes32c2,147$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.625650%28 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c1,687$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.213,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0337…e74cbacked No68c1,600$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ac3…1c95backed No68c1,600$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes32c1,569$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.755232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes31c1,539$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.9223452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No39c1,535$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.815160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes31c1,500$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0359055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd179…e0f7backed No68c1,490$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29cd…6a31backed No68c1,464$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6310…0d90backed Yes77c1,463$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.352272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes31c1,430$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.6728055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae9…d507backed No68c1,400$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No37c1,396$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.6869142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes28c1,286$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.7121641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes33c1,189$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.655125.5%13 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7207525.3%19 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6908521.2%18 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes66c1,000$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes78c901.66$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.661668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick71cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked No24c824.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008236.6%30 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No66c806.98$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.044463.6%28 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa560…d7cfbacked No68c800$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes32c800$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54464046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…62d3backed Yes36c800$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes32c799.56$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.527854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x724f…79ddbacked Yes33c750$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdea1…5a65backed Yes27c740.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.743100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+391.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked No64c725$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4632138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b6c…5ab5backed No68c629.07$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes32c601$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.6830634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e1e…e799backed Yes32c587.5$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick39cpaid+167.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes32c544.04$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9553242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes40c539.79$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.823951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3e…addfbacked No68c535.29$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes27c500$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3654148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34014427.8%40 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6834…c8d3backed Yes35c408.89$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.781752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes32c401.83$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.2524047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002532%8 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes31c399.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2749044.4%40 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5674…26e2backed No68c394$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d8a…a2ebbacked No68c380.95$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36be…30bcbacked No68c372.06$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Yes37c351.81$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.644946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed Yes32c349.97$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.981758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No39c333.8$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.7374457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes32c333.29$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.3413969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x2724…b190backed No68c327.94$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22320%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes53c327.12$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.2221842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2f…0adcbacked No68c326.47$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0d…f056backed No68c326.47$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No30c321.03$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.411839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes77c317.86$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9215036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfa…d05cbacked No68c310.29$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21130%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.038159.3%48 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4fd…4e90backed Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.03728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0323152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc277…9d94backed Yes33c250$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+33%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x868e…f152backed No68c247.06$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad2f…f350backed Yes33c230.3$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.3955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+56.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No68c212$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1635148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed1b…1423backed No68c210.29$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Yes39c205.13$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.1316446.3%76 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1366434.4%22 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No68c196.74$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7920642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes28c187.29$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.034440.9%18 W · 26 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+56.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No32c181.81$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.529946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x277e…5cfcbacked No68c180.88$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No38c179.21$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0512744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes33c170$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.93627.8%10 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x856f…617dbacked Yes73c157.26$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.46560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No54c134.86$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.581,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfe…b875backed No68c132.35$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff33…91fbbacked No68c129.41$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed No31c129.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Yes72c116.11$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.714768.1%32 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes32c114$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9650243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec28…20a9backed No68c111.76$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78f0…79c3backed No68c111.76$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No69c110$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.950449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6b…a1bebacked No68c108.82$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ab…b633backed No68c107.35$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes29c105.13$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.133250%16 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+49.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9242…60babacked Yes31c105$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.451560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes27c104.91$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3255941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…238abacked No68c104.41$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed Yes33c104.15$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.783148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb19…8a05backed No68c102.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.