TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,308
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,261

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,308 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb802…5bbebacked Yes60c15,000$8,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,99910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No69c13,545$9,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,198.955242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc3…2b11backed Yes1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55053246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes60c3,888$2,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,338.92837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick67cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No40c3,787$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,271.931833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No69c3,642$2,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.051,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes31c3,287$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0193850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No68c2,872$1,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.881,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Yes63c2,745$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,729.1720054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked No38c2,500$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5501154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No40c2,474$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.5330446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No68c1,600$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.6623452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes32c1,570$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.46238.7%24 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes32c1,531$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4903151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x125e…992cbacked No69c1,088$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.271866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed No33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6705448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61022335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes8c999.64$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.977525.3%19 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes32c961.53$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.6910437.5%39 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No68c800$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25622552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes31c780$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.830634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed No41c750$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.54461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No69c730$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.35563.6%35 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes32c699.63$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.397534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes66c632.36$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.9474457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes15c506.42$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.63,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed Yes62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3102669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1554148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No68c444$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.089542.1%40 W · 55 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b47…25d3backed Yes31c412$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No69c405$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.5512951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes8c355.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272532%8 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No68c334.35$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9921957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4fd…4e90backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…785abacked Yes64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9629053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9011546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9618152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No37c290.21$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.0969142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x981c…7f14backed Yes31c270.46$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12cc…3587backed Yes61c257.38$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes31c254.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0535148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes59c247.56$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.0855941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba1b…82fdbacked Yes31c241.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc11e…75c8backed Yes5c230$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe92e…1e38backed Yes60c216.05$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.631656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2588…1cfdbacked No69c200.52$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.162334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92d3…17adbacked Yes60c198.75$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes31c190$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.914540.7%59 W · 86 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…ca89backed Yes32c187.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602540%10 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb0…e797backed No70c184.29$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Yes31c181.03$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.124843.8%21 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No68c180$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.616151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No68c180$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.614950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No68c180$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.643255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes30c170$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes31c170$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.79238%35 W · 57 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No68c165.93$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.114244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ae…7ecebacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Yes64c153.62$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.111145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4560%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No63c147.28$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1512744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Yes15c146.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224768.1%32 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x865f…1e60backed Yes32c145.83$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6310…0d90backed Yes69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8615062%93 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa041…04d2backed No39c129.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012045.8%55 W · 65 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes31c123.74$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3615034.7%52 W · 98 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.47951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.420652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.411952.9%63 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.49945.5%45 W · 54 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.420250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.419652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.429053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.420949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc84…4871backed No42c119.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.24757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Yes31c101.39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.431346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314126.8%11 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x706c…7752backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306933.3%23 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x878c…529ebacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-41.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No32c93$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.246544.6%29 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc4…63f6backed Yes25c88.42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-48.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b3…99d6backed Yes13c86.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf13…a9bebacked Yes62c86.34$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2269…6b01backed Yes70c85.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-72.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x63a5…eff8backed Yes60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd6d…c504backed Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked No68c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.619553.3%104 W · 91 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…8946backed Yes35c79.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No35c78.4$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9413969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes34c78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1419662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.