MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9b4d9a1a151c52a6a3674a9342849a34beb20861514c950724804b4b0b10f2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Twins, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $450,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $453,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $450,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Twins | 33c | 364,831$118,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118,725.18 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Phillies | 67c | 173,222$116,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,163.27 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Phillies | 68c | 56,092$38,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,949.42 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Phillies | 68c | 30,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 67c | 26,117$17,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,622.87 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Twins | 32c | 25,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Phillies | 68c | 17,777$12,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,688.64 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Phillies | 68c | 15,500$10,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,960 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Phillies | 68c | 15,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Phillies | 68c | 15,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Phillies | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 68c | 6,500$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Phillies | 67c | 6,357$4,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.87 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 51c | 6,287$3,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.12 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Twins | 32c | 6,023$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.38 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Twins | 34c | 5,012$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.08 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 48c | 4,471$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.13 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 68c | 3,955$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.95 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Phillies | 73c | 3,353$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.22 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…eb4fbacked Phillies | 66c | 3,210$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Phillies | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Phillies | 49c | 2,219$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.37 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Phillies | 51c | 2,013$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.47 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Phillies | 29c | 1,746$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.38 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Twins | 56c | 1,708$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Twins | 54c | 1,193$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.65 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Phillies | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Twins | 34c | 965.87$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.39 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Phillies | 66c | 911.78$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.86 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Phillies | 68c | 769.12$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.12 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 56c | 718.87$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.66 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Twins | 34c | 664$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.76 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Twins | 32c | 585.6$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.39 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Twins | 34c | 555$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.7 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Twins | 32c | 528.08$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.98 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 33c | 499.97$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Phillies | 68c | 442.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.19 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Twins | 48c | 438.31$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.6 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…437cbacked Phillies | 68c | 417.47$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.59 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Phillies | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Phillies | 65c | 369.3$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.25 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…120abacked Phillies | 69c | 339.87$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Phillies | 62c | 321.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.27 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Phillies | 65c | 305$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Twins | 65c | 299.39$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.02 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Phillies | 64c | 293.75$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Twins | 34c | 292$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Phillies | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Twins | 33c | 269.34$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Twins | 35c | 234.92$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Twins | 62c | 209$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.07 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Twins | 33c | 160$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x825f…0997backed Twins | 64c | 154.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3853…a3d3backed Phillies | 62c | 154.42$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Twins | 49c | 149$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Phillies | 71c | 140.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…b55ebacked Phillies | 69c | 139.94$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Phillies | 75c | 132.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Twins | 14c | 126$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Twins | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Twins | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 65c | 105$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Phillies | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…e0edbacked Twins | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Twins | 33c | 88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Phillies | 70c | 78.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Twins | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…18cebacked Phillies | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671f…af9cbacked Phillies | 70c | 70.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Twins | 33c | 60.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0622backed Twins | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Twins | 53c | 54.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799f…c6b6backed Phillies | 66c | 54.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafea…3dbfbacked Phillies | 69c | 50.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…7ee3backed Twins | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…b93bbacked Phillies | 66c | 40.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Twins | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Twins | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…081bbacked Twins | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…d38bbacked Twins | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…01ecbacked Twins | 35c | 39.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…743cbacked Phillies | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…a087backed Twins | 32c | 36.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…4137backed Twins | 32c | 36.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…52b6backed Twins | 32c | 36.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…60b9backed Twins | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Twins | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…7505backed Twins | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 121 | 38%46 W · 75 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…5840backed Phillies | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1352backed Phillies | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…da52backed Phillies | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea4…f6cabacked Phillies | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb512…44a5backed Phillies | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d41…708cbacked Phillies | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Phillies | 67c | 18.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e99…611dbacked Phillies | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Twins vs. Philliesthis page
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.