NFL · resolved market
Patriots vs. Saints
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x956062ff723cf609b3085fcbd85ccbd771ab28b1c0cf557b224afb2e824d1faa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patriotsof Patriots, Saints
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,776,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,026,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,776,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 353 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Patriots | 64c | 604,006$383,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220,442.26 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…e113backed Saints | 38c | 261,929$99,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,533.11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Saints | 37c | 239,074$88,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,936.56 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Saints | 36c | 112,471$40,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,489.67 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Saints | 35c | 112,246$39,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,395.56 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Patriots | 67c | 82,656$55,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,547.36 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Saints | 37c | 53,400$19,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,758 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Patriots | 62c | 52,800$32,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,064 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Patriots | 69c | 50,422$34,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,796.54 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Patriots | 63c | 45,000$28,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,800 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Saints | 36c | 38,943$13,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,871.88 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Saints | 19c | 34,724$6,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,756.8 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Patriots | 64c | 31,500$20,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,285 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Saints | 36c | 30,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Patriots | 63c | 29,834$18,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,006.43 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Saints | 36c | 23,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,249.99 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Patriots | 62c | 21,582$13,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,193.5 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Patriots | 64c | 15,323$9,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,516.22 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Patriots | 75c | 13,300$9,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,367.91 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea18…3cbebacked Patriots | 62c | 13,000$8,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,910 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Patriots | 62c | 12,311$7,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,678.29 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Patriots | 62c | 12,000$7,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,560 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Saints | 36c | 11,643$4,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,195.25 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Patriots | 64c | 11,380$7,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,130.73 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Saints | 35c | 11,292$3,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,986.01 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Saints | 24c | 10,608$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.47 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Saints | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Saints | 31c | 9,000$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Saints | 31c | 8,990$2,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,742.13 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Patriots | 62c | 8,954$5,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,401.18 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Saints | 25c | 7,994$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.27 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Saints | 36c | 7,500$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Saints | 36c | 5,782$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.4 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Saints | 36c | 5,009$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Patriots | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Patriots | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…2521backed Patriots | 64c | 4,678$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Saints | 25c | 4,591$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.64 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Patriots | 68c | 4,201$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.56 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…406abacked Patriots | 62c | 4,068$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Patriots | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Saints | 27c | 3,959$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.56 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Saints | 18c | 3,755$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.61 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Patriots | 65c | 3,522$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.94 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Patriots | 61c | 3,324$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.21 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Patriots | 67c | 3,256$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.13 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Patriots | 67c | 3,025$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.38 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Patriots | 63c | 3,000$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.02 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Saints | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8b…8f61backed Patriots | 65c | 2,800$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Saints | 35c | 2,790$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.32 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Saints | 35c | 2,626$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.99 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Saints | 1c | 2,443$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Patriots | 79c | 2,440$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.4 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Patriots | 74c | 2,430$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.18 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Patriots | 62c | 2,419$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.35 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saints | 23c | 2,209$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.22 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Patriots | 62c | 2,114$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.32 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0d…e13bbacked Saints | 36c | 2,111$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Saints | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Saints | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Saints | 36c | 1,986$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.56 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…d026backed Saints | 37c | 1,890$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.29 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d95…9d3cbacked Saints | 36c | 1,809$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +144.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…7b4fbacked Patriots | 65c | 1,809$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Saints | 33c | 1,794$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.55 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…e7d4backed Patriots | 65c | 1,753$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae8…83c0backed Patriots | 65c | 1,692$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Patriots | 68c | 1,692$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.1 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bec…129abacked Saints | 36c | 1,683$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Saints | 17c | 1,667$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.19 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…2be0backed Saints | 38c | 1,477$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.23 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Patriots | 62c | 1,430$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.4 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Patriots | 64c | 1,406$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.25 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…e906backed Saints | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…3f8bbacked Saints | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Saints | 2c | 1,291$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Saints | 19c | 1,267$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.04 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Patriots | 67c | 1,121$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.3 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Patriots | 74c | 1,116$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.58 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Saints | 39c | 1,100$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…ce35backed Saints | 31c | 1,028$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.7 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Saints | 23c | 1,024$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.5 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Patriots | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…e7f5backed Patriots | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…c552backed Saints | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Patriots | 63c | 903$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.42 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Patriots | 65c | 810.74$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.76 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Patriots | 65c | 800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Patriots | 63c | 774$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.9 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Patriots | 65c | 770.14$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Patriots | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Saints | 36c | 750$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Patriots | 63c | 737.8$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.99 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Patriots | 69c | 722.97$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.97 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Patriots | 61c | 707.39$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.45 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Saints | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Saints | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Saints | 7c | 650$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 142 | 15.5%22 W · 120 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…39e7backed Patriots | 65c | 636.35$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Patriots vs. Saintsthis page
- Patriots vs. Saints: O/U 45.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Saints: O/U 46.5Under won
- Spread: Patriots (-3.5)Patriots won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.