TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Cowboys vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cowboysof Cowboys, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,193,943
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,377,883

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,193,943 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 606 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Cowboys48c1,191,778$569,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621,950.998344.6%37 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Jets51c613,692$313,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313,515.1422548.4%109 W · 116 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Cowboys51c405,955$206,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199,375.8747738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Jets52c303,209$157,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157,636.513259.4%19 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+45.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Jets51c277,484$141,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,1145648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3672…edbdbacked Cowboys49c235,784$115,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120,130.994250%21 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Jets54c126,091$67,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,679.4422950.2%115 W · 114 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Cowboys48c100,316$48,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,280.912352.8%65 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Jets51c99,589$51,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,214.7210566.7%70 W · 35 L+12.6wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Jets48c87,267$41,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,518.241851.9%217 W · 201 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Jets54c60,000$32,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,399.9624652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Jets49c43,215$20,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,974.0719553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Cowboys52c35,667$18,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,244.0514351%73 W · 70 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Jets46c35,117$16,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,106.5661148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Cowboys53c35,000$18,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,55030743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Jets45c31,080$13,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,866.6841947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Jets52c25,772$13,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,413.1524551%125 W · 120 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Jets1c25,752$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.917733.8%26 W · 51 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Jets53c24,849$13,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,17011649.1%57 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Jets53c20,000$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,6003745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cowboys60c17,912$10,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,214.0164747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cowboys49c17,037$8,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,607.412144.6%54 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Jets47c15,999$7,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,519.5516545.5%75 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Jets44c13,408$5,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,899.3131240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jets50c13,257$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,599.9631848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Cowboys46c12,210$5,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,593.45048%24 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Jets53c11,505$6,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,097.6311146.8%52 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Cowboys47c10,638$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,638.311252.7%59 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Cowboys48c10,417$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,416.6718650%93 W · 93 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc993…618cbacked Jets2c10,376$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.72450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+96%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Jets55c10,011$5,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,506.0522349.8%111 W · 112 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Jets54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,40035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Jets54c7,988$4,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,313.5110462.5%65 W · 39 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+45.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Jets43c7,741$3,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,308.414247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Jets43c6,750$2,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,902.4317348%83 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Jets53c6,645$3,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,522.118156.9%103 W · 78 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Cowboys52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4002556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Cowboys52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40014342%60 W · 83 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jets46c4,930$2,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,281.3627348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Jets9c4,904$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.523748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Jets1c4,805$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.81128%9 W · 103 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+413.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Cowboys53c4,689$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,190.732050.9%163 W · 157 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Jets52c4,587$2,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40725744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jets53c4,582$2,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,422.0660049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Jets51c4,047$2,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,081.8718435.9%66 W · 118 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Cowboys58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68034349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…69fdbacked Cowboys48c4,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10011755.6%65 W · 52 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Jets52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.998845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Jets49c3,788$1,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,862.8330043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1eb…f5b9backed Cowboys53c3,601$1,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Jets28c3,518$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.9168446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb1e…88d5backed Jets49c3,500$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7155560%33 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf5d…330ebacked Cowboys50c3,400$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7002100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2e…dde1backed Jets51c3,333$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Jets46c3,180$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.2631854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89cd…f03bbacked Cowboys48c3,125$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6257456.8%42 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Jets40c3,076$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.5518140.9%74 W · 107 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jets36c3,002$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.0920026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Jets20c2,840$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.22454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+82.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x305e…7d29backed Cowboys52c2,704$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.912552%13 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+54.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x98f3…bf14backed Jets53c2,545$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Jets48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2002161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+40.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Cowboys57c2,370$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.795358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jets51c2,338$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.211,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Jets43c2,300$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98923647%111 W · 125 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Cowboys52c2,300$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.6220646.1%95 W · 111 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0431…6088backed Jets48c2,280$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.422142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jets51c2,123$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.6419235.4%68 W · 124 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Jets26c2,099$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.9414445.8%66 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Cowboys48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.335549.1%27 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Jets48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd6…bc18backed Cowboys48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.331764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+46%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Jets49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Jets45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9004542.2%19 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x205b…dd3cbacked Cowboys55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.9914148.2%68 W · 73 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Jets43c1,998$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.6927644.2%122 W · 154 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a7…5bddbacked Cowboys51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.782100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3aa6…4979backed Jets50c1,960$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jets37c1,958$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.7350242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Cowboys47c1,901$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.473948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x474b…a13cbacked Jets22c1,900$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.982114.3%3 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-65%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked Cowboys53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7911748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Jets1c1,855$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.651486.8%10 W · 138 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+296.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa705…9c86backed Cowboys56c1,790$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Jets47c1,700$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79920661.2%126 W · 80 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd17a…8eaabacked Jets2c1,644$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294918.4%9 W · 40 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Jets1c1,639$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.081013%3 W · 98 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ad…be8cbacked Jets53c1,620$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.371163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Cowboys50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80023447.9%112 W · 122 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Cowboys56c1,536$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.8427339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x345e…8fa6backed Jets45c1,500$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Cowboys58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63019543.6%85 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8372…09bcbacked Cowboys57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+108.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Cowboys68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4805540%22 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed Jets45c1,462$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6582065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Jets4c1,455$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.91969.2%18 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-67.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jets1c1,443$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.654311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Cowboys50c1,420$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7101353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+82.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a45…1405backed Cowboys55c1,402$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.067749.4%38 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Cowboys52c1,366$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.4714951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.