NFL · resolved market
Raiders vs. Colts
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a5d7b0cea3d284ce6338ee10ce34b0fc59c7d4422e0a52d575892916c057911
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coltsof Raiders, Colts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $581,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $574,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $581,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Colts | 75c | 107,209$80,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,733.99 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Raiders | 25c | 60,224$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Raiders | 25c | 58,816$14,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,686.59 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Colts | 75c | 53,953$40,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,488.2 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Raiders | 27c | 53,834$14,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,765.23 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Colts | 76c | 35,714$27,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,446.85 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Raiders | 26c | 32,556$8,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,323.79 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Raiders | 20c | 30,314$5,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,922.2 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Raiders | 24c | 25,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Colts | 75c | 17,349$13,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,337.33 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Colts | 75c | 13,744$10,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,457.57 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Raiders | 27c | 11,837$3,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.19 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Raiders | 25c | 11,599$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.67 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Raiders | 24c | 11,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.99 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Raiders | 27c | 10,148$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.82 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Raiders | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.95 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Raiders | 25c | 8,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…2da2backed Raiders | 13c | 6,218$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Colts | 76c | 5,200$3,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Raiders | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Raiders | 0c | 4,950$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Colts | 67c | 4,642$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.78 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Colts | 75c | 4,500$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Raiders | 26c | 4,400$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Raiders | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Raiders | 26c | 3,997$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Colts | 74c | 3,994$2,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.44 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raiders | 22c | 3,327$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.75 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Raiders | 25c | 3,111$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.04 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Raiders | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Raiders | 27c | 2,866$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.73 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef3c…f731backed Colts | 76c | 2,790$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.58 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -6.1wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Raiders | 0c | 2,741$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raiders | 25c | 2,456$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.97 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…0a62backed Colts | 76c | 2,447$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.37 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Colts | 78c | 2,400$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Colts | 68c | 2,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…331cbacked Raiders | 24c | 2,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd3…f7d3backed Raiders | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Raiders | 28c | 1,793$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.63 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Raiders | 3c | 1,721$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Raiders | 4c | 1,685$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed Raiders | 6c | 1,566$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.55 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Raiders | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Colts | 74c | 1,419$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.97 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Raiders | 25c | 1,337$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.14 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Colts | 74c | 1,265$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.82 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Colts | 75c | 1,200$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Raiders | 1c | 1,119$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…0856backed Raiders | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Raiders | 25c | 1,080$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Raiders | 25c | 1,000$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.58 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Colts | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Colts | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raiders | 27c | 992.59$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f90…1b35backed Colts | 75c | 986$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…d7ccbacked Raiders | 25c | 812.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Raiders | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Colts | 76c | 789.47$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.47 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Colts | 76c | 789.47$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.47 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -10.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Raiders | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Colts | 74c | 747.18$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.63 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Raiders | 29c | 700.18$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.93 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…8568backed Colts | 76c | 685.78$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9b…1056backed Raiders | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Raiders | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 142 | 15.5%22 W · 120 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Raiders | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Raiders | 26c | 593.03$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.19 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Raiders | 3c | 559.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Colts | 71c | 544.88$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Colts | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…ce35backed Colts | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Raiders | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 121 | 33.9%41 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Colts | 76c | 495.23$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.23 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Colts | 73c | 481$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.87 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…2867backed Raiders | 7c | 470$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 89 | 10.1%9 W · 80 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Colts | 80c | 459.96$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.93 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Colts | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4906…0f5fbacked Colts | 76c | 401.32$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…276bbacked Raiders | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Colts | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9c…00f6backed Raiders | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb2…79e2backed Raiders | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…fe7bbacked Raiders | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…1a02backed Colts | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Colts | 77c | 399.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 180 | 51.7%93 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b26…9bc4backed Raiders | 10c | 397.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Colts | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe067…b980backed Raiders | 26c | 384.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +912.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Colts | 76c | 361.84$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Colts | 73c | 350$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Colts | 68c | 343.55$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.41 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Colts | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Raiders | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Raiders | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -12.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Raiders | 27c | 296.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Colts | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…b4b0backed Colts | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Colts | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Colts | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raiders vs. Coltsthis page
- Raiders vs. Colts: O/U 47.5Under won
- Raiders vs. Colts: O/U 48.5Under won
- Raiders vs. Colts: O/U 50.5Under won
- Spread: Colts (-3.5)Colts won
- Spread: Colts (-6.5)Colts won
- Spread: Colts (-7.5)Colts won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.