MLB · resolved market
White Sox vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6479b04909130502fa1f9d51e0f46da2bf9f91007a6691f979ed5ef032fd9027
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof White Sox, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $525,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $541,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $525,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Nationals | 52c | 302,947$156,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146,748.69 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox | 48c | 149,485$72,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,332.2 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed White Sox | 48c | 141,425$67,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,883.93 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Nationals | 51c | 76,406$38,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,439.06 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked White Sox | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 54c | 38,896$21,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,723.28 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked White Sox | 49c | 19,904$9,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,752.94 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Nationals | 53c | 10,583$5,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,973.94 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked White Sox | 48c | 10,526$5,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,069.87 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Nationals | 52c | 10,202$5,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,896.95 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nationals | 58c | 7,111$4,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990.92 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 58c | 3,964$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.25 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Nationals | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.05 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 52c | 3,533$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.91 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Nationals | 51c | 2,600$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed White Sox | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed White Sox | 35c | 2,448$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.83 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked White Sox | 9c | 2,342$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed White Sox | 71c | 2,171$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.09 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked White Sox | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nationals | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed White Sox | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Nationals | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.89 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Nationals | 51c | 1,688$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.59 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Nationals | 16c | 1,608$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.55 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed White Sox | 49c | 1,095$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.55 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked White Sox | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed White Sox | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Nationals | 52c | 999.99$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked White Sox | 48c | 999.95$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nationals | 51c | 905.71$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.37 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed White Sox | 70c | 795.33$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.47 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Nationals | 54c | 777.25$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.39 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked White Sox | 7c | 766.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…e8f2backed White Sox | 14c | 648.09$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed White Sox | 36c | 640.45$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.72 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked White Sox | 74c | 540.27$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.1 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Nationals | 52c | 509$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.23 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Nationals | 52c | 496$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.08 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed White Sox | 44c | 457.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 51c | 429.33$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.87 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked White Sox | 48c | 416.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed White Sox | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Nationals | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked White Sox | 26c | 324.31$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fb…f935backed White Sox | 48c | 311.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed White Sox | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked White Sox | 48c | 276.97$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.95 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nationals | 36c | 260.21$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.61 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Nationals | 53c | 236.76$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…15d4backed White Sox | 45c | 207.13$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…c353backed White Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nationals | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Nationals | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed White Sox | 50c | 189.75$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nationals | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nationals | 74c | 179.86$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Nationals | 56c | 179.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Nationals | 57c | 175.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.41 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c86…f1f1backed White Sox | 69c | 166.67$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…6a09backed White Sox | 50c | 158$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Nationals | 26c | 139.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.98 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Nationals | 20c | 139$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.18 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…1630backed Nationals | 53c | 135.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…b17ebacked White Sox | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked White Sox | 9c | 120.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed White Sox | 38c | 117.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked White Sox | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…120abacked Nationals | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…7f91backed White Sox | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…5230backed Nationals | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked White Sox | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed White Sox | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed White Sox | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127c…3743backed Nationals | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Nationals | 43c | 93.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.61 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d93…8dfabacked White Sox | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed White Sox | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ff…a245backed White Sox | 49c | 77.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa6…7721backed White Sox | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31df…10cabacked Nationals | 80c | 61.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…3462backed White Sox | 49c | 61.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4dd3backed White Sox | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…1808backed Nationals | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked White Sox | 45c | 57.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Nationals | 51c | 52.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed White Sox | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…5840backed White Sox | 73c | 50.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked White Sox | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed White Sox | 47c | 46.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…d3fdbacked White Sox | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked White Sox | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed White Sox | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9017…9173backed White Sox | 48c | 40.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Nationals | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176a…7c26backed Nationals | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…d38bbacked Nationals | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…bc00backed Nationals | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed White Sox | 50c | 38.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x526d…73f1backed White Sox | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- White Sox vs. Nationalsthis page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.