TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Dodgers vs. Mariners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dodgersof Dodgers, Mariners
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$307,231
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$321,899

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,231 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Dodgers46c68,959$31,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,239.7438043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers41c63,501$26,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,371.881,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Mariners54c42,086$22,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,726.4463152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers46c30,611$14,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,493.951,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Mariners54c30,000$16,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,199.9660249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners61c27,480$16,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,709.122,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Mariners54c14,222$7,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,679.8830255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Mariners63c13,995$8,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,763.8278445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Mariners54c10,011$5,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,405.6455053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Mariners61c9,080$5,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,578.961,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed Mariners54c9,000$4,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8608861.4%54 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfcc…441bbacked Mariners56c8,930$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dodgers45c7,464$3,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,124.791,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Dodgers51c6,344$3,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,109.569249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners54c6,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2401,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Mariners54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70056451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers44c3,977$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.272,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Dodgers46c3,498$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.8821740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mariners62c3,455$2,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,157.912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb1e…88d5backed Mariners58c3,219$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.57058.6%41 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Mariners54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.9998149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x459a…8a5abacked Mariners55c2,745$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.8450%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Mariners53c2,255$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.0630842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Dodgers45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10032042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Mariners78c1,977$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.0676456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc560…1fc1backed Mariners55c1,700$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Dodgers38c1,625$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.721,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4520…b2dabacked Dodgers45c1,600$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dodgers65c1,578$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.8546239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f4…55c1backed Mariners24c1,555$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.896417.2%11 W · 53 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Mariners36c1,387$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49721767.7%147 W · 70 L+36.1wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Dodgers42c1,238$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.12759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Mariners46c1,195$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.826,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Dodgers46c1,095$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.320748.8%101 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Dodgers48c1,051$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.9126055%143 W · 117 L+21.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Dodgers48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5203,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac90…1882backed Dodgers46c921$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.342937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Dodgers46c916.6$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.961,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ff…252ebacked Dodgers45c899.98$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.991346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Mariners62c898.42$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.8260052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbde…a050backed Dodgers41c856.17$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.176747.8%32 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Mariners60c820.44$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.791,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x588c…6929backed Mariners55c800$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mariners42c768$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.838,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Dodgers52c743.96$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.11681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.24per pick57cpaid+38.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Dodgers43c738.82$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.816,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Dodgers41c735.53$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.5363052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Dodgers47c699.98$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.991,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Dodgers40c694.19$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.6154941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Dodgers44c661.41$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.0820523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Dodgers46c658.95$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.441,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Dodgers44c600$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33842452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Mariners61c593.41$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9814047.9%67 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Dodgers46c580.67$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.5651347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mariners53c579$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.871,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa550…3885backed Mariners54c557.18$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.665238.5%20 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Dodgers62c510$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.838741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Dodgers47c499.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.991,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Dodgers47c499.84$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.722142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Dodgers40c491.64$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.736443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fce…28f8backed Dodgers49c457.14$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.149757.7%56 W · 41 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Dodgers36c419.58$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.5811141.4%46 W · 65 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Mariners55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005950.8%30 W · 29 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb99…5d0fbacked Dodgers45c347.83$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.834057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Dodgers42c330.4$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.754,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Dodgers31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5819540%78 W · 117 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Mariners54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16278454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Dodgers45c299.98$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.9966751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers32c251.21$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.939,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Mariners56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14012152.1%63 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Mariners45c247.37$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.931145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Dodgers47c246.02$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.5396133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e51…9531backed Dodgers42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.17358.9%43 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Dodgers45c219.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.8147850.4%241 W · 237 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Dodgers46c217.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.31,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Mariners77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15410636.8%39 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11892754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Dodgers48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10421656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6692…1125backed Mariners60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12013242.4%56 W · 76 L-14.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e09…a4edbacked Dodgers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1086558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95d1…817ebacked Dodgers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Dodgers46c199.99$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.597041.4%29 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Dodgers52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…6a50backed Dodgers26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.31650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ad…3d9cbacked Mariners53c191.65$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Dodgers44c189$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.845947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Mariners55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047348.8%231 W · 242 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Mariners54c179.7$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0457545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Mariners56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7439…40d2backed Mariners57c175.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-54.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Mariners57c157.89$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906544.6%29 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Dodgers28c154.55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5535652.5%187 W · 169 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Dodgers38c152.21$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.376358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c61…2d7ebacked Dodgers46c152.01$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25ad…46fcbacked Mariners52c149.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Dodgers68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0617355.5%96 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Mariners55c144.36$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802277.3%17 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+48.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Mariners61c139.8$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.288454.8%46 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Mariners59c139.65$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825246.2%24 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.