NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9b8676f16e3b59f425b706836348c40709b4dcd7193bb5ec5c0e4a0335b99c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Flames, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $294,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $289,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x145c…43bcbacked Golden Knights | 70c | 119,555$83,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,909.91 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Golden Knights | 69c | 59,448$41,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,428.88 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Flames | 30c | 49,414$14,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,824.3 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Flames | 31c | 40,953$12,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,749.2 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Flames | 12c | 40,365$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.5 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Flames | 30c | 36,091$10,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,827.32 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Flames | 31c | 29,139$9,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,116.02 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Golden Knights | 69c | 25,000$17,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,750 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Flames | 31c | 24,998$7,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,749.43 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Flames | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Golden Knights | 68c | 9,000$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flames | 31c | 7,281$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.99 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Flames | 31c | 6,500$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Flames | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Golden Knights | 70c | 3,938$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.45 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Golden Knights | 75c | 3,731$2,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.77 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Golden Knights | 67c | 3,024$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.88 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Flames | 30c | 2,612$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.12 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Flames | 1c | 2,506$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…b883backed Golden Knights | 69c | 2,349$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.34 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…1a89backed Flames | 31c | 2,100$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Golden Knights | 68c | 1,665$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.4 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Golden Knights | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Flames | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…f4fbbacked Golden Knights | 68c | 1,450$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Golden Knights | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.16 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Flames | 32c | 1,403$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.08 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Flames | 30c | 1,400$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Flames | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Golden Knights | 67c | 900$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Flames | 30c | 855.08$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.52 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Golden Knights | 69c | 782.61$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.61 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flames | 30c | 753.03$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.97 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Golden Knights | 68c | 620$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.4 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Flames | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…025cbacked Golden Knights | 68c | 599.99$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Flames | 9c | 468$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5027…40afbacked Golden Knights | 69c | 420$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…197ebacked Flames | 32c | 420$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Golden Knights | 68c | 407.97$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.55 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Golden Knights | 68c | 402.51$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b34…a79abacked Golden Knights | 68c | 350$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Flames | 31c | 343.53$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.49 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…c104backed Flames | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Flames | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Flames | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f7…1b4cbacked Flames | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Golden Knights | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Flames | 33c | 269.7$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…abf9backed Flames | 33c | 257.09$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Flames | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Golden Knights | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Flames | 32c | 246.87$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…ef94backed Flames | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Flames | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Flames | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Flames | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Golden Knights | 68c | 199$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf59…1fc4backed Flames | 31c | 193.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91de…cb7fbacked Flames | 31c | 187.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Golden Knights | 67c | 184.45$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7863…1cd3backed Flames | 31c | 170.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 25c | 164.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Flames | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…9f1dbacked Flames | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95fd…597dbacked Golden Knights | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Golden Knights | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Golden Knights | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…138bbacked Golden Knights | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c78…b86cbacked Golden Knights | 69c | 142.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…4dadbacked Golden Knights | 69c | 140.57$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Golden Knights | 69c | 133.46$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Flames | 30c | 132.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Golden Knights | 75c | 132.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…13bfbacked Golden Knights | 69c | 131.88$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…0eafbacked Golden Knights | 69c | 124.64$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ce…c3b3backed Golden Knights | 69c | 124.63$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Golden Knights | 69c | 123.46$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46eb…e2a5backed Golden Knights | 69c | 120.28$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Flames | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…bb47backed Golden Knights | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Flames | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Golden Knights | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked Golden Knights | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 212 | 45.8%97 W · 115 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…647bbacked Flames | 32c | 96.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Flames | 30c | 91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683d…ed3fbacked Golden Knights | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Golden Knights | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb05c…cba1backed Golden Knights | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ac…33b2backed Flames | 31c | 69.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Golden Knights | 77c | 56.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…8ba5backed Flames | 32c | 53.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Flames | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…581bbacked Golden Knights | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Golden Knights | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Flames | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 198 | 44.4%88 W · 110 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde88…24cebacked Golden Knights | 69c | 47.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Golden Knights | 67c | 45.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a2…fadfbacked Golden Knights | 68c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Golden Knightsthis page
- Flames vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.