MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66fbd9da525f87b4102acb94a84e9f94cfaee21c8acacfe40e1301671cfb5194
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Royals, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $530,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $550,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $530,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Athletics | 47c | 200,200$93,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,407.96 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Royals | 54c | 184,815$99,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,999.11 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Athletics | 46c | 110,101$50,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,454.54 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Royals | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,500 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Athletics | 45c | 33,476$15,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,311.69 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Royals | 44c | 24,286$10,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,666.33 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Athletics | 59c | 19,292$11,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,898.39 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Athletics | 46c | 15,503$7,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,371.56 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 48c | 14,985$7,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,805.79 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Royals | 44c | 11,044$4,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,911.16 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Royals | 44c | 9,276$4,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,061.82 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Royals | 55c | 8,505$4,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,678 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics | 54c | 7,583$4,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,489.86 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals | 53c | 7,199$3,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,815.52 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 46c | 6,800$3,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Athletics | 47c | 6,638$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,518.3 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Royals | 56c | 6,280$3,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,521.23 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Athletics | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Athletics | 47c | 4,258$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.84 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Athletics | 47c | 3,173$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.69 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Royals | 53c | 3,173$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.69 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Royals | 48c | 3,000$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 49c | 2,851$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.72 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Athletics | 48c | 2,579$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.74 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…6f5cbacked Athletics | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Royals | 42c | 2,498$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.86 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Royals | 80c | 2,174$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.2 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Athletics | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Athletics | 49c | 2,000$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.8 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics | 56c | 1,899$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.13 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Royals | 51c | 1,535$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.05 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Athletics | 54c | 1,430$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.49 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 45c | 1,307$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.67 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Athletics | 47c | 1,250$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.53 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Athletics | 47c | 1,065$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.44 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Royals | 52c | 1,054$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Athletics | 59c | 1,047$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.01 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Athletics | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Royals | 53c | 943.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Athletics | 47c | 935$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.55 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Athletics | 48c | 852.77$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.44 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 55c | 849.65$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.3 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Athletics | 46c | 754.84$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.42 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Royals | 54c | 742.77$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.1 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Royals | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Royals | 5c | 690.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Royals | 46c | 674.04$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.15 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Athletics | 49c | 600$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.96 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Royals | 80c | 600$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Athletics | 62c | 564.91$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.07 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Athletics | 46c | 538.72$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.91 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 50c | 531.04$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.89 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Royals | 44c | 436.18$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Royals | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Athletics | 52c | 381.13$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.78 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Athletics | 64c | 348.09$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.31 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…3495backed Athletics | 48c | 333$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.16 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Royals | 54c | 306.67$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Athletics | 47c | 300$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.67 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Athletics | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Royals | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Athletics | 62c | 275.81$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.81 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Royals | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbb…e5bcbacked Royals | 48c | 243.21$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.74 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Royals | 43c | 242.12$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.93 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Athletics | 47c | 242$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.89 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Athletics | 56c | 216.93$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Athletics | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Athletics | 48c | 188.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Royals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Royals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Royals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Royals | 54c | 183.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Royals | 50c | 166$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 20c | 135$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Royals | 54c | 125.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Royals | 55c | 125$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Royals | 48c | 124.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Athletics | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Athletics | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa588…7c1fbacked Royals | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e6…a22dbacked Royals | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5c…f2b7backed Athletics | 50c | 114$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9670…000abacked Athletics | 50c | 114$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa59…d7e9backed Athletics | 50c | 113.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 48c | 113.46$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d1…1e58backed Royals | 52c | 113.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Athletics | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6c…6008backed Athletics | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd9…8ef8backed Royals | 52c | 103.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Royals | 43c | 100.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Athletics | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa9…259ebacked Royals | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Athletics | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Athletics | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed Athletics | 46c | 93.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Royals | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Royals vs. Athleticsthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.