MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd27d50fb80b72f5e7292399db54bfd242fee64106d920e1b262412deb116c088
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Twins, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 70c | 2,222$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.29 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Twins | 45c | 1,634$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.16 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Twins | 20c | 1,300$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Twins | 47c | 1,223$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.44 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 30c | 1,042$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.34 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Royals | 68c | 953.95$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.03 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Royals | 54c | 880.77$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.1 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Royals | 55c | 872.16$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Twins | 46c | 868.86$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Twins | 45c | 799.92$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.13 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Royals | 71c | 759$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.73 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Royals | 55c | 723.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.21 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Twins | 32c | 587$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.22 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Royals | 58c | 514.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.31 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Royals | 55c | 466.93$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.12 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Royals | 54c | 451.28$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.59 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Royals | 53c | 441.24$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.38 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Twins | 46c | 435$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Twins | 44c | 399.96$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.98 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Twins | 45c | 358.17$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.18 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Twins | 45c | 356$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.2 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Royals | 69c | 312.19$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals | 63c | 309.57$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.78 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Twins | 13c | 261.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Royals | 63c | 230.35$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Twins | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Royals | 62c | 228.06$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.16 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Twins | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Twins | 46c | 209.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 70c | 200.34$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Royals | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Royals | 56c | 191.78$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.78 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Royals | 53c | 188$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Twins | 25c | 187.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Royals | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1148…dc44backed Royals | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…97b7backed Twins | 47c | 172.34$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Royals | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Royals | 78c | 147.44$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Royals | 56c | 142$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Twins | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Twins | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 53c | 98.19$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Royals | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Twins | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Twins | 20c | 84.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cb…0f0cbacked Royals | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Twins | 45c | 78.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Royals | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Royals | 54c | 70.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Twins | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Royals | 53c | 61.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Royals | 54c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d3…127cbacked Royals | 54c | 57.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…b14cbacked Twins | 45c | 55.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1b…7d60backed Royals | 55c | 52.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Twins | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Royals | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…5be4backed Royals | 55c | 49.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf62…227dbacked Twins | 45c | 48.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Twins | 45c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ec…80dfbacked Royals | 56c | 46.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf92…d080backed Royals | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Twins | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Twins | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 547 | 40.2%220 W · 327 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Twins | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b4…cec5backed Royals | 55c | 41.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d79…ad77backed Twins | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Royals | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…113dbacked Twins | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked Royals | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Royals | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…3dbfbacked Royals | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca9…cb3dbacked Twins | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a2…fadfbacked Royals | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5087…4ad6backed Royals | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…e535backed Royals | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…0ae2backed Royals | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Twins | 46c | 26.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 355 | 51.5%183 W · 172 L | +24.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Twins | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 337 | 50.4%170 W · 167 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Royals | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…974bbacked Royals | 55c | 22.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3382…dcfbbacked Twins | 45c | 22.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a1…7d64backed Royals | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Royals | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Royals | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Royals | 61c | 17.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Twins vs. Royalsthis page
- Spread: Royals (-1.5)Twins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.