MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c14bb0d95dc0771abbe31c7dcc569637d459f2c0cdf7f6577a79f97161dfab9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Yankees, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $957,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,000,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $957,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 489 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Red Sox | 49c | 514,633$252,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252,123.6 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Yankees | 51c | 131,115$66,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,221.13 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yankees | 51c | 88,658$45,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,442.34 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 51c | 74,021$38,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,912.54 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,500 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Yankees | 51c | 42,528$21,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,838.9 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yankees | 51c | 37,879$19,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,560.79 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yankees | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,700 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Yankees | 67c | 27,763$18,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,262.69 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 52c | 17,800$9,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,544 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Red Sox | 14c | 10,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Red Sox | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yankees | 73c | 9,575$7,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.93 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 51c | 8,207$4,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,994.79 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Red Sox | 47c | 7,752$3,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,643.23 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 25c | 6,615$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 21c | 6,295$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.14 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox | 45c | 6,115$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.48 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d7…068bbacked Red Sox | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x616c…2ef3backed Red Sox | 47c | 5,744$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yankees | 51c | 5,640$2,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736.57 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yankees | 51c | 5,555$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.95 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb31…04d6backed Yankees | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ad…7fc3backed Red Sox | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 52c | 4,166$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.86 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Yankees | 52c | 3,781$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.88 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yankees | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.86 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…1cc5backed Yankees | 52c | 2,900$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e40…4141backed Yankees | 53c | 2,831$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Red Sox | 49c | 2,562$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Red Sox | 48c | 2,543$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.54 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…3607backed Yankees | 50c | 2,500$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…4864backed Yankees | 53c | 2,455$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yankees | 54c | 2,113$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.78 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Red Sox | 23c | 2,085$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.47 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cc…de2dbacked Yankees | 51c | 1,900$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Yankees | 51c | 1,500$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.05 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…83dabacked Yankees | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yankees | 51c | 1,470$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.3 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Red Sox | 48c | 1,462$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.77 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yankees | 51c | 1,431$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.19 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Yankees | 53c | 1,368$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.92 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Yankees | 55c | 1,272$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.56 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…df7bbacked Yankees | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Red Sox | 39c | 1,177$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.02 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Yankees | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yankees | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Red Sox | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Sox | 47c | 999.95$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yankees | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Yankees | 53c | 946.25$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.74 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Yankees | 52c | 940$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.2 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox | 46c | 900$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Red Sox | 47c | 852$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.44 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Red Sox | 46c | 848.77$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.44 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yankees | 61c | 843.27$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.71 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox | 48c | 833$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Red Sox | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yankees | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Yankees | 74c | 765.02$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.53 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b5…e04fbacked Yankees | 53c | 741$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +108%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yankees | 52c | 722.33$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.72 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Yankees | 53c | 700.13$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.06 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Red Sox | 32c | 690$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…b23bbacked Yankees | 62c | 649.19$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.19 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yankees | 52c | 641$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.48 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Yankees | 53c | 638.92$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.29 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Red Sox | 47c | 605.59$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.57 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Red Sox | 26c | 596.68$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.87 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yankees | 52c | 595$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Yankees | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 40c | 546$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.98 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Red Sox | 49c | 517.59$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.62 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Red Sox | 26c | 492.7$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.51 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yankees | 50c | 469.52$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.76 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Red Sox | 23c | 449.43$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.37 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Red Sox | 49c | 432$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.68 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Red Sox | 48c | 417$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Red Sox | 5c | 414$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Red Sox | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Yankees | 53c | 405.66$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.66 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yankees | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yankees | 54c | 343.57$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.04 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Red Sox | 49c | 343$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.07 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Red Sox | 47c | 215$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yankees | 71c | 212.14$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5149…1fc0backed Red Sox | 49c | 203.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Red Sox | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Yankees | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Yankees | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…e5dbbacked Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcff…0e58backed Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…565dbacked Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0f…f1dcbacked Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…6f65backed Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…18cfbacked Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…502ebacked Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yankees vs. Red Soxthis page
- Spread: Yankees (-1.5)Yankees won
- Yankees vs. Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.