MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x190d217e29e4fe2a9b0dcc36e27f7bd258d53929177519b7ea22628ff0768b85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Red Sox, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $603,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $610,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $603,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 468,561$246,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246,650.4 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox | 47c | 217,149$102,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,686.41 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Red Sox | 47c | 58,194$27,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,973.13 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 49c | 44,633$21,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,709.22 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Red Sox | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,800 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Red Sox | 46c | 30,499$14,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,397.88 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 17,352$9,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,480.38 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 48c | 16,789$8,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,730.28 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Red Sox | 46c | 16,729$7,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,090.91 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Red Sox | 49c | 16,419$8,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,373.47 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 12,288$6,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,305.02 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Red Sox | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Red Sox | 47c | 7,500$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 48c | 7,387$3,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,842.26 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox | 48c | 7,198$3,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,745.07 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 42c | 6,961$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,039.9 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Sox | 50c | 5,145$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Red Sox | 49c | 4,622$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.39 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 49c | 4,113$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.76 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Red Sox | 48c | 4,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Red Sox | 41c | 3,659$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.54 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Red Sox | 51c | 3,601$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.68 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 3,296$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.92 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…6e7abacked Red Sox | 63c | 3,234$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.66 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Red Sox | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 48c | 2,429$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.92 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 2,265$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.46 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Red Sox | 46c | 2,070$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.37 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Red Sox | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.81 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 1,860$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.8 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,589$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.25 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Diamondbacks | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Sox | 47c | 1,192$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.76 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Red Sox | 25c | 1,175$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.43 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…a1d9backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,099$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.49 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Red Sox | 49c | 1,060$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.6 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Red Sox | 48c | 960$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.2 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 899.54$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.02 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Red Sox | 38c | 843.56$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.79 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 831.31$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.45 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 783.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Red Sox | 32c | 772.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.73 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Red Sox | 50c | 750$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.5 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Red Sox | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Red Sox | 48c | 698.99$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.44 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Sox | 48c | 692.8$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.45 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 659.95$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.77 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Red Sox | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Red Sox | 53c | 560$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.2 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Diamondbacks | 62c | 544$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.96 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Red Sox | 48c | 532.42$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.86 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Red Sox | 38c | 526.25$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.3 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefaa…0af8backed Red Sox | 45c | 508.98$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Red Sox | 48c | 501.65$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.86 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Red Sox | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Red Sox | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Red Sox | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Red Sox | 48c | 460.6$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.51 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Red Sox | 47c | 450$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 432$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.92 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Red Sox | 47c | 425.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.62 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 423.66$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.17 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Diamondbacks | 64c | 420.88$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.54 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Red Sox | 58c | 420$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.38 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Red Sox | 48c | 416$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.32 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Red Sox | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 395$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 386.19$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.96 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Red Sox | 49c | 328.92$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.75 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Red Sox | 51c | 300.66$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Diamondbacks | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 43c | 289.29$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.29 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Red Sox | 46c | 270$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Red Sox | 49c | 249.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6f…80adbacked Diamondbacks | 71c | 225.69$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Red Sox | 45c | 223.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.82 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Red Sox | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Red Sox | 50c | 208$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Red Sox | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Red Sox | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Red Sox | 45c | 199.53$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.74 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Red Sox | 45c | 193.33$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Red Sox | 47c | 163.44$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.65 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 152.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Red Sox | 49c | 135.85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Red Sox | 75c | 122.13$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Red Sox | 49c | 121.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Red Sox | 49c | 112$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Red Sox | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Red Sox | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Red Sox | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.