MLB · resolved market
White Sox vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x069d1efb8f3aa9486dcdda18b91c6bc5e8932cfc8ab96cba8ee59ccb934a4856
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof White Sox, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed White Sox | 38c | 22,384$8,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,504.39 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed White Sox | 40c | 13,235$5,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,293.81 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 62c | 11,185$6,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250.3 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…adf4backed White Sox | 37c | 9,996$3,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,698.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8834…73e8backed Orioles | 63c | 9,996$6,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,698.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 62c | 4,734$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.02 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Orioles | 60c | 4,500$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 62c | 3,826$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.6 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 64c | 3,530$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.12 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Orioles | 75c | 3,341$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.95 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed White Sox | 37c | 3,145$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.72 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed White Sox | 19c | 2,772$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.82 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.21 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox | 7c | 1,736$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.71 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Orioles | 60c | 1,697$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.41 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed White Sox | 8c | 1,600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 73c | 1,373$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.08 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed White Sox | 9c | 1,206$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Orioles | 60c | 1,043$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.2 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Orioles | 60c | 1,027$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.33 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Orioles | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Orioles | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.97 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Orioles | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed White Sox | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked White Sox | 32c | 769.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Orioles | 60c | 716$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.4 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed White Sox | 10c | 619$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 62c | 610.52$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Orioles | 61c | 599.98$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.99 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed White Sox | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed White Sox | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Orioles | 62c | 499.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed White Sox | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Orioles | 60c | 458.2$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.28 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed White Sox | 26c | 435.27$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.17 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked White Sox | 24c | 418.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Orioles | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked White Sox | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed White Sox | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Orioles | 59c | 396.17$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.43 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked White Sox | 4c | 340.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed White Sox | 41c | 331.71$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed White Sox | 37c | 267.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked White Sox | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Orioles | 60c | 248$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…71bcbacked White Sox | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed White Sox | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Orioles | 63c | 211.51$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.26 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed White Sox | 27c | 186.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Orioles | 63c | 157$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cd…0eeebacked White Sox | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98c…02c6backed White Sox | 41c | 133.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed White Sox | 34c | 126.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83b8…743cbacked White Sox | 41c | 121.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Orioles | 63c | 121$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…59f6backed White Sox | 40c | 115.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6979…d7a2backed Orioles | 61c | 113.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…de7ebacked White Sox | 41c | 100.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Orioles | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e6…c104backed White Sox | 41c | 91.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x621d…2e43backed Orioles | 60c | 89.55$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x773b…790bbacked White Sox | 41c | 89.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked White Sox | 16c | 88.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…f359backed Orioles | 60c | 85.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…0570backed Orioles | 60c | 85.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b3…9b71backed Orioles | 60c | 84.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d50…40acbacked Orioles | 60c | 84.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f2…55c6backed Orioles | 60c | 83.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 45cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…c1e2backed White Sox | 41c | 82.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a7…536cbacked Orioles | 61c | 82.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…f2d3backed Orioles | 61c | 81.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked White Sox | 40c | 81.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed White Sox | 36c | 79.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca5…4d3bbacked White Sox | 41c | 79.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…99d1backed Orioles | 61c | 78.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…0694backed Orioles | 60c | 78.83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Orioles | 65c | 77.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…4de7backed White Sox | 41c | 76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…7fddbacked Orioles | 64c | 75.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0162…6033backed White Sox | 37c | 75.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…c129backed White Sox | 41c | 75.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20f2…f805backed Orioles | 61c | 74.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c7…3458backed Orioles | 60c | 73.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked White Sox | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Orioles | 60c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a47…a16abacked Orioles | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…bf0bbacked White Sox | 37c | 62.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed White Sox | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Orioles | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed White Sox | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Orioles | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed White Sox | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…9790backed White Sox | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…cc7bbacked Orioles | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28eb…6bbbbacked Orioles | 60c | 48.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Orioles | 61c | 47.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed White Sox | 29c | 45.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed White Sox | 40c | 43.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Orioles | 64c | 42.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.