MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a51d42f50be39f03ebfbfb63eb07f1e4b17ab450b3ce4a698586b2940a62eb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cardinals | 25c | 16,705$4,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,105.69 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 57c | 3,951$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.14 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Cardinals | 24c | 3,909$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 2,812$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.72 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 66c | 2,750$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.36 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Blue Jays | 39c | 2,560$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.35 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…6aaabacked Cardinals | 57c | 2,527$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Blue Jays | 27c | 2,281$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.43 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Cardinals | 44c | 2,227$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.77 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Blue Jays | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Blue Jays | 33c | 2,049$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.76 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Cardinals | 1c | 2,005$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 33c | 1,758$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.7 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Cardinals | 9c | 1,411$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cardinals | 55c | 1,297$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.12 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Cardinals | 56c | 1,249$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.54 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Cardinals | 20c | 1,017$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Cardinals | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Blue Jays | 44c | 985$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.6 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 877$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.03 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cardinals | 64c | 713.54$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.33 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cardinals | 6c | 689.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Blue Jays | 41c | 646.34$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.34 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Cardinals | 21c | 636.05$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.57 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Cardinals | 10c | 607.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Cardinals | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Blue Jays | 43c | 558.26$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.21 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cardinals | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Blue Jays | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Cardinals | 46c | 497.54$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.21 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Blue Jays | 39c | 451.94$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.94 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Cardinals | 56c | 439$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.84 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Blue Jays | 37c | 432.43$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.43 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Cardinals | 5c | 430.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Cardinals | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Blue Jays | 43c | 399.8$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.89 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27be…e3a9backed Cardinals | 57c | 392.98$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Cardinals | 10c | 308.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Cardinals | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Blue Jays | 41c | 299.01$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.3 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blue Jays | 65c | 298.5$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Cardinals | 43c | 285$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.86 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Blue Jays | 45c | 238.72$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.92 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Cardinals | 57c | 228.25$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.1 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 43c | 223.77$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.55 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Cardinals | 10c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Blue Jays | 41c | 196.98$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.26 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Cardinals | 62c | 192.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.18 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 55c | 188.33$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Cardinals | 18c | 186.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…c533backed Blue Jays | 58c | 177.4$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.51 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cardinals | 56c | 134$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 133.8$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.09 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Blue Jays | 43c | 126.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cardinals | 54c | 124.51$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Blue Jays | 45c | 122.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Blue Jays | 71c | 119.72$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cardinals | 36c | 111$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Cardinals | 58c | 111$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Cardinals | 55c | 110.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Blue Jays | 43c | 103.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.02 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Blue Jays | 41c | 102.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cardinals | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Blue Jays | 38c | 99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Blue Jays | 44c | 95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Blue Jays | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d75…ab74backed Cardinals | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays | 45c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Blue Jays | 55c | 85.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Blue Jays | 38c | 78.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cardinals | 39c | 77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacaf…abaabacked Cardinals | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…afbfbacked Blue Jays | 40c | 68.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cardinals | 56c | 59.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Cardinals | 51c | 59.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Cardinals | 55c | 55.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…cdcbbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Blue Jays | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Blue Jays | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…581abacked Blue Jays | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 45.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…542fbacked Cardinals | 57c | 44.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Cardinals | 56c | 42.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Cardinals | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…06a8backed Cardinals | 57c | 34.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…cc7bbacked Cardinals | 57c | 34.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…902dbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b17…6424backed Blue Jays | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…cb1cbacked Blue Jays | 77c | 32.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Cardinals | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x440b…d50cbacked Blue Jays | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…8994backed Blue Jays | 80c | 30.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Cardinals | 58c | 30.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…beafbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 28.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.