NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Stars

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7ee204c9061a1aff5e5b0f58598339bcb46edf46eaaac4e1ddefb5f2372bf8f

Rebuilt 51 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Starsof Wild, Stars
Resolved: Mar 25, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $39,079
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $41,898

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,079 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xac90…1882backed Stars	66c	4,514$2,979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,534.76	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dfc…b032backed Wild	34c	4,500$1,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,530	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Wild	33c	4,444$1,466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,466.44	315	46.3%146 W · 169 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Stars	67c	2,983$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$982.55	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Wild	40c	2,248$899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899	107	43%46 W · 61 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Stars	67c	2,239$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$738.81	279	58.8%164 W · 115 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars	60c	1,962$1,177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$784.85	1,025	40.8%418 W · 607 L	+15.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Wild	33c	1,749$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.55	1,475	48.3%712 W · 763 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b6b…12e7backed Wild	35c	1,429$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	55cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Wild	34c	1,308$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.68	1,891	52.4%991 W · 900 L	+36.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Stars	67c	1,146$767 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$378.83	106	58.5%62 W · 44 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Wild	38c	1,131$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.37	244	57.4%140 W · 104 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3318…ea60backed Stars	66c	1,055$696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$358.54	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0417…a81ebacked Wild	34c	1,055$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.54	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.20per pick	50cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Stars	71c	944.64$666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.64	237	61.6%146 W · 91 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Wild	33c	928.98$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.56	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Wild	33c	903.16$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.04	510	44.5%227 W · 283 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Wild	35c	860.47$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	53	34%18 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ff…6c51backed Stars	67c	855$573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.15	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-4.1wins	-0.20per pick	65cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Stars	67c	597.01$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.01	134	57.5%77 W · 57 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Wild	6c	387.8$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.39	544	18%98 W · 446 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c94…84efbacked Wild	35c	385.63$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.72	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Stars	68c	357.14$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.28	584	67.5%394 W · 190 L	+93.1wins	+0.16per pick	52cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Wild	33c	314.76$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.87	724	44.6%323 W · 401 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf296…9839backed Wild	34c	299.99$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	55cpaid	+28%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Stars	67c	298.83$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.83	128	59.4%76 W · 52 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Stars	67c	298.51$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.51	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fcc…2d54backed Stars	67c	297.01$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.01	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Wild	33c	283.48$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.55	976	51.6%504 W · 472 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f8d…a1e9backed Wild	9c	276.52$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	62	33.9%21 W · 41 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Stars	64c	270.97$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.07	3,704	50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L	+105.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Stars	65c	250$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.5	206	49.5%102 W · 104 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Stars	65c	241.57$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.55	493	51.3%253 W · 240 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Wild	35c	200$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	372	54.3%202 W · 170 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68d9…f87fbacked Wild	34c	200$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f54…89fcbacked Wild	35c	200$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Stars	67c	200$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	500	49.4%247 W · 253 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c37…1926backed Stars	67c	180$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.4	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9bb…1329backed Wild	35c	171.43$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Stars	66c	149.98$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.33	840	51.4%432 W · 408 L	+19.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Stars	67c	149.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.25	417	57.3%239 W · 178 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars	67c	149.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.25	1,039	55.2%574 W · 465 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Stars	67c	149.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.25	101	47.5%48 W · 53 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Stars	67c	149.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.25	64	50%32 W · 32 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04d8…b9e5backed Wild	34c	147.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.05	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9abe…404fbacked Wild	34c	143.91$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.93	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.21per pick	51cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb39…7a04backed Wild	34c	138.06$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.94	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x225f…e3a4backed Wild	34c	134.35$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.68	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d5…53f7backed Wild	34c	130$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Stars	66c	126.17$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.45	1,636	50.4%825 W · 811 L	-20.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79b2…4874backed Stars	66c	121.29$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.29	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7beb…b29dbacked Stars	66c	120$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef89…73e2backed Stars	67c	118.53$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.53	32	71.9%23 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Wild	35c	114.29$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	309	46.3%143 W · 166 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Stars	67c	104.48$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.48	208	61.5%128 W · 80 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x839e…ca9cbacked Stars	67c	104.48$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.48	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Stars	67c	100$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	351	54.1%190 W · 161 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Stars	67c	100$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	508	57.7%293 W · 215 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Stars	66c	100$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	818	46%376 W · 442 L	+4.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Wild	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	276	43.5%120 W · 156 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Stars	65c	99.99$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	669	51%341 W · 328 L	-14.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c6…10e2backed Wild	35c	97.14$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wild	19c	94.53$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.87	913	34.1%311 W · 602 L	-27.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Stars	67c	89.55$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.55	148	44.6%66 W · 82 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Stars	66c	87$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.58	234	62%145 W · 89 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa10f…56eebacked Wild	35c	85.71$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aab…acedbacked Stars	67c	81.07$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.75	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1060…a32dbacked Stars	67c	81.06$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.75	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b0a…6b93backed Stars	67c	80.3$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0d…fd3fbacked Stars	66c	80$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57ce…f415backed Stars	67c	78.25$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.82	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.7wins	+0.31per pick	47cpaid	+60.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2a6…7f82backed Wild	34c	77.56$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.37	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars	66c	75.76$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.76	1,037	55%570 W · 467 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeed0…01e0backed Stars	67c	75.61$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.95	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-33%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e20…354ebacked Stars	67c	75$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.75	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x008a…30d1backed Wild	34c	75$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dad…bfcdbacked Stars	67c	74.4$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b3a…d650backed Wild	35c	74.06$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.92	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc895…ff63backed Stars	66c	72.67$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.71	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58fc…18a6backed Wild	35c	71.43$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67be…561ebacked Stars	67c	69.81$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.04	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d4a…df01backed Stars	67c	69.36$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.89	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…92efbacked Stars	67c	68.49$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.6	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.34per pick	59cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Wild	34c	67.76$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.04	164	37.2%61 W · 103 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…7e18backed Stars	66c	67.58$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.98	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Wild	34c	67$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.78	305	49.2%150 W · 155 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb2d…0ab6backed Wild	35c	66.71$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.35	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1ba…fbd8backed Wild	34c	65.56$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.29	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.7wins	-0.24per pick	52cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ed5…cc7bbacked Wild	34c	64.29$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x671b…e4bdbacked Stars	67c	64.18$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.18	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+47.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x18b4…913bbacked Stars	67c	63.18$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.85	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b18…2c0bbacked Stars	66c	60.61$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.61	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Stars	67c	59.7$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.7	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d1…b694backed Stars	67c	52.24$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.24	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Stars	66c	51.69$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.57	731	57.5%420 W · 311 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1720…ef36backed Wild	35c	51.43$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.8wins	+0.12per pick	44cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1fd…4854backed Wild	34c	50$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92dd…d924backed Stars	67c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e6…cbb5backed Stars	67c	44.78$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.78	42	71.4%30 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	67cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd847…0344backed Wild	34c	44.12$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wild vs. Stars

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market