TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Nets, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$334,620
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$333,251

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,620 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9a0…88eebacked Nets33c33,759$11,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,685.2912938%49 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Mavericks74c24,312$17,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,873.2422049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Nets36c23,054$8,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,700.313426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-51.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Nets24c16,822$4,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,703.381,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked Nets18c16,730$3,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,667.853234.4%11 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks74c13,341$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,900.373,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Mavericks75c12,807$9,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,661.8429747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets21c10,660$2,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,449.221,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Mavericks80c10,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00029738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Mavericks55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.9980146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Mavericks80c9,051$7,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,230.96155.7%34 W · 27 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+50.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Mavericks48c6,892$3,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,292.6648046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Nets21c5,035$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00261345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Mavericks80c5,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Nets21c4,818$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,827.9137734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Nets21c4,769$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,760.9129957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd31a…a098backed Nets14c4,663$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,029.512835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Mavericks78c4,037$3,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,146.221,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…6bf5backed Mavericks80c4,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2009557.9%55 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nets21c3,975$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,150.015,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Mavericks79c3,514$2,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,783.2873647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Nets23c3,422$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,619.7170640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Nets23c3,332$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,569.2888053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Nets38c3,039$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.0930443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x000f…fa77backed Mavericks75c2,815$2,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,113.572669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Nets20c2,682$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,137.9977745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Mavericks78c2,555$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mavericks64c2,554$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.981,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Mavericks80c2,500$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006873.5%50 W · 18 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Nets20c2,500$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.441,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Mavericks3c2,226$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.618783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Nets10c2,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9926124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Nets19c1,852$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.257647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d4d…d691backed Nets30c1,746$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.19785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick52cpaid+75.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Nets41c1,669$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.9210533.3%35 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4698…6c24backed Mavericks70c1,560$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0993756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Nets25c1,342$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.1111229.5%33 W · 79 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Nets16c1,256$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.2516532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca34…8cb1backed Nets24c1,237$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.2511140.5%45 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed Nets21c1,230$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.494344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bcb…725abacked Mavericks5c1,213$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3857.1%6 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Mavericks78c1,154$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90029643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nets21c1,144$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.761,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Nets18c1,117$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.6726640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0748…2869backed Nets21c1,048$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.62742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Nets20c1,047$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.619152.4%100 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Mavericks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Mavericks80c1,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80073051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Nets21c1,000$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x532f…83ccbacked Mavericks78c1,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Nets19c999.99$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.9966853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2745…17b3backed Nets22c997$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.661369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mavericks78c979.05$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.6696447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Nets23c869.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.574535.6%16 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9e8…c443backed Mavericks79c856.52$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.814953.1%26 W · 23 L-8.4wins-0.17per pick70cpaid-25.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x66d6…25b8backed Nets26c769.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.23825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…9e23backed Mavericks11c763.64$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick28cpaid-84.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Mavericks10c706.53$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6570147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Nets17c700$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58217335.8%62 W · 111 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Mavericks79c700$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55150453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb004…51b4backed Nets21c677.43$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.174531.1%14 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Mavericks80c600$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48045743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8643…dc82backed Nets17c520$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.65827.6%16 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+92.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae97…7eabbacked Mavericks76c508.77$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.6780%0 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Mavericks79c500$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39524855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471f…f60abacked Mavericks80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004575.6%34 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Mavericks80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009442.6%40 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Mavericks80c466$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.85563.6%35 W · 20 L-0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Nets19c444$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.647055.7%39 W · 31 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Mavericks78c412.62$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.8721450%107 W · 107 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Nets21c405.94$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.6975347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Mavericks76c401.3$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.5936751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2911…fed6backed Mavericks75c400.14$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Mavericks79c400$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31630251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe74c…d5a3backed Mavericks78c384.62$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005860.3%35 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…a131backed Mavericks80c350$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28015365.4%100 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Nets16c350$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.15127.5%14 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2b8…5ce5backed Mavericks17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa3…072dbacked Nets29c294.69$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.7811352.2%59 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Nets32c291.43$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.7625016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Nets18c279$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.7819149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed Nets21c274.52$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.8720553.7%110 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked Nets72c257.6$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9924329.6%72 W · 171 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eae…4feebacked Mavericks79c253.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Nets16c252.14$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.6439843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca5f…1e74backed Nets34c244.69$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.654238.1%16 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x433b…58debacked Nets21c238.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.15726.3%15 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Nets21c238$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.0287647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Mavericks80c224.5$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.685347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Nets23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.391,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Nets20c212.68$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1433348.9%163 W · 170 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18dc…6e79backed Nets22c204.08$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.351450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Nets22c199.96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9772341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Mavericks80c187.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7947848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Nets44c180.36$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10111144.1%49 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea4f…3463backed Nets21c177.81$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.47862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+43.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Nets14c175$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2518518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8d6…f330backed Nets21c171.62$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.581346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa954…b8edbacked Nets18c166.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.673033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f0c…18b7backed Mavericks79c165.16$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.481650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.